Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar holds a commanding position in Texas's 37th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential and Senate candidates in recent cycles and a partisan voting index favoring the party. Casar secured the nomination easily in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced through her party's runoff, yet faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Mid-decade redistricting preserved the district's core Democratic areas in Travis County and surroundings. Trader consensus at 98 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge before November 3, 2026, could theoretically narrow the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$41,882 交易量
$41,882 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
98%
共和黨
2%
$41,882 交易量
$41,882 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$25,231 交易量
98%
共和黨
$16,651 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar holds a commanding position in Texas's 37th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential and Senate candidates in recent cycles and a partisan voting index favoring the party. Casar secured the nomination easily in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced through her party's runoff, yet faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Mid-decade redistricting preserved the district's core Democratic areas in Travis County and surroundings. Trader consensus at 98 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge before November 3, 2026, could theoretically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$41,882結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar holds a commanding position in Texas's 37th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential and Senate candidates in recent cycles and a partisan voting index favoring the party. Casar secured the nomination easily in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced through her party's runoff, yet faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Mid-decade redistricting preserved the district's core Democratic areas in Travis County and surroundings. Trader consensus at 98 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge before November 3, 2026, could theoretically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,882結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Greg Casar holds a commanding position in Texas's 37th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential and Senate candidates in recent cycles and a partisan voting index favoring the party. Casar secured the nomination easily in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced through her party's runoff, yet faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Mid-decade redistricting preserved the district's core Democratic areas in Travis County and surroundings. Trader consensus at 98 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge before November 3, 2026, could theoretically narrow the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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