The TX-37 race centers on a newly configured Austin-area district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+30 and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including strong showings for Harris and Allred in 2024 benchmarks. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary after Lloyd Doggett's retirement and redistricting shuffle, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced from a low-turnout May runoff against limited opposition. These fundamentals, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments through late summer 2026, underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant candidate-specific scandal, health issue, or national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this heavily urban, Democratic-leaning seat.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$41,882 交易量
$41,882 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
98%
共和黨
2%
$41,882 交易量
$41,882 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$25,231 交易量
98%
共和黨
$16,651 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-37 race centers on a newly configured Austin-area district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+30 and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including strong showings for Harris and Allred in 2024 benchmarks. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary after Lloyd Doggett's retirement and redistricting shuffle, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced from a low-turnout May runoff against limited opposition. These fundamentals, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments through late summer 2026, underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant candidate-specific scandal, health issue, or national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this heavily urban, Democratic-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$41,882結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-37 race centers on a newly configured Austin-area district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+30 and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including strong showings for Harris and Allred in 2024 benchmarks. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary after Lloyd Doggett's retirement and redistricting shuffle, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced from a low-turnout May runoff against limited opposition. These fundamentals, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments through late summer 2026, underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant candidate-specific scandal, health issue, or national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this heavily urban, Democratic-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,882結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThe TX-37 race centers on a newly configured Austin-area district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+30 and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including strong showings for Harris and Allred in 2024 benchmarks. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary after Lloyd Doggett's retirement and redistricting shuffle, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced from a low-turnout May runoff against limited opposition. These fundamentals, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments through late summer 2026, underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant candidate-specific scandal, health issue, or national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this heavily urban, Democratic-leaning seat.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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