Texas's 38th congressional district, covering affluent Houston suburbs and northwest Harris County areas, carries a Republican lean reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent strong GOP performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. All major rating firms classify the November 3, 2026, general election as Safe or Solid Republican. Incumbent Wesley Hunt opted not to seek re-election and instead pursued a Senate bid, leading to a crowded Republican primary won decisively by Jon Bonck in the May runoff. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough faces a structurally disadvantaged path in a district where Republicans have historically held large margins, with no recent polling or late-cycle developments indicating a competitive shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$26,249 交易量
$26,249 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
88%
民主黨
7%
$26,249 交易量
$26,249 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$17,229 交易量
88%
民主黨
$9,020 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district, covering affluent Houston suburbs and northwest Harris County areas, carries a Republican lean reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent strong GOP performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. All major rating firms classify the November 3, 2026, general election as Safe or Solid Republican. Incumbent Wesley Hunt opted not to seek re-election and instead pursued a Senate bid, leading to a crowded Republican primary won decisively by Jon Bonck in the May runoff. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough faces a structurally disadvantaged path in a district where Republicans have historically held large margins, with no recent polling or late-cycle developments indicating a competitive shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$26,249結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district, covering affluent Houston suburbs and northwest Harris County areas, carries a Republican lean reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent strong GOP performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. All major rating firms classify the November 3, 2026, general election as Safe or Solid Republican. Incumbent Wesley Hunt opted not to seek re-election and instead pursued a Senate bid, leading to a crowded Republican primary won decisively by Jon Bonck in the May runoff. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough faces a structurally disadvantaged path in a district where Republicans have historically held large margins, with no recent polling or late-cycle developments indicating a competitive shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,249結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETTexas's 38th congressional district, covering affluent Houston suburbs and northwest Harris County areas, carries a Republican lean reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent strong GOP performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. All major rating firms classify the November 3, 2026, general election as Safe or Solid Republican. Incumbent Wesley Hunt opted not to seek re-election and instead pursued a Senate bid, leading to a crowded Republican primary won decisively by Jon Bonck in the May runoff. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough faces a structurally disadvantaged path in a district where Republicans have historically held large margins, with no recent polling or late-cycle developments indicating a competitive shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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