Lateefah Simon holds a commanding lead in the CA-12 House race as the Democratic incumbent who captured over 84 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary against challenger Jamie Joyce. The Alameda County district rates solidly Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, with Simon's fundraising exceeding $1.4 million compared to Joyce's roughly $31,000. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages plus incumbency and limited Republican presence on the November 3 general election ballot. A late scandal, health event, or major national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though both candidates advanced from the same party primary in a low-competition environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Lateefah Simon
95%
Jamie Joyce
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Lateefah Simon
$1,454 交易量
95%
Jamie Joyce
$1,107 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon holds a commanding lead in the CA-12 House race as the Democratic incumbent who captured over 84 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary against challenger Jamie Joyce. The Alameda County district rates solidly Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, with Simon's fundraising exceeding $1.4 million compared to Joyce's roughly $31,000. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages plus incumbency and limited Republican presence on the November 3 general election ballot. A late scandal, health event, or major national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though both candidates advanced from the same party primary in a low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,562結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon holds a commanding lead in the CA-12 House race as the Democratic incumbent who captured over 84 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary against challenger Jamie Joyce. The Alameda County district rates solidly Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, with Simon's fundraising exceeding $1.4 million compared to Joyce's roughly $31,000. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages plus incumbency and limited Republican presence on the November 3 general election ballot. A late scandal, health event, or major national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though both candidates advanced from the same party primary in a low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,562結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ETLateefah Simon holds a commanding lead in the CA-12 House race as the Democratic incumbent who captured over 84 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary against challenger Jamie Joyce. The Alameda County district rates solidly Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, with Simon's fundraising exceeding $1.4 million compared to Joyce's roughly $31,000. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages plus incumbency and limited Republican presence on the November 3 general election ballot. A late scandal, health event, or major national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though both candidates advanced from the same party primary in a low-competition environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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