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icon for 馬裏蘭州通過重新劃分選區要求選票措施?

馬裏蘭州通過重新劃分選區要求選票措施?

icon for 馬裏蘭州通過重新劃分選區要求選票措施?

馬裏蘭州通過重新劃分選區要求選票措施?

70% 機率
Polymarket
最新

70% 機率
Polymarket
最新
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/). Maryland’s Democratic-controlled legislature passed the redistricting constitutional amendment (Question 3) during an August 2026 special session, sending it to voters on November 3. The measure clarifies that state constitutional criteria on compactness, contiguity, and political boundaries apply only to legislative districts, not congressional ones, while authorizing Supreme Court original jurisdiction over congressional maps. A lower court initially blocked the question over procedural issues, but the Maryland Supreme Court reversed that ruling on September 3 and cleared it for the ballot. With Democrats holding supermajorities and the state’s partisan composition favoring passage of party-backed amendments, traders assign the measure a 71.5% implied probability of approval. Upcoming factors include any late organized opposition or turnout dynamics in the general election.

Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/). Maryland’s Democratic-controlled legislature passed the redistricting constitutional amendment (Question 3) during an August 2026 special session, sending it to voters on November 3. The measure clarifies that state constitutional criteria on compactness, contiguity, and political boundaries apply only to legislative districts, not congressional ones, while authorizing Supreme Court original jurisdiction over congressional maps. A lower court initially blocked the question over procedural issues, but the Maryland Supreme Court reversed that ruling on September 3 and cleared it for the ballot. With Democrats holding supermajorities and the state’s partisan composition favoring passage of party-backed amendments, traders assign the measure a 71.5% implied probability of approval. Upcoming factors include any late organized opposition or turnout dynamics in the general election.

Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬裏蘭州通過重新劃分選區要求選票措施?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬里蘭通過劃分選區要求公投案?" at 70%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"馬裏蘭州通過重新劃分選區要求選票措施?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "馬裏蘭州通過重新劃分選區要求選票措施?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬裏蘭州通過重新劃分選區要求選票措施?" is "馬里蘭通過劃分選區要求公投案?" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬裏蘭州通過重新劃分選區要求選票措施?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.