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icon for 德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者
政治·中期

德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者

icon for 德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者
政治·中期

德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新
icon for Bo French（共和黨）

Bo French（共和黨）

$187 交易量

58%

icon for Jon Rosenthal（民主黨）

Jon Rosenthal（民主黨）

$171 交易量

43%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Bo French holds a narrow lead over Jon Rosenthal in the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner race, with recent polls showing French ahead by three points amid 9-13% undecided voters and low name recognition for both candidates. French secured the Republican nomination in a May primary runoff by defeating incumbent Jim Wright, emphasizing energy sector priorities alongside cultural issues, while Rosenthal, a state representative and former oil-field engineer, highlights technical expertise on regulation and grid concerns. Texas has not elected a Democrat to the commission since 1990, yet high undecided shares among independents and some Republicans sustain competitiveness heading into the November general election. Trader pricing reflects this dynamic, with room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout, or late developments in a low-profile statewide contest.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$358
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Bo French holds a narrow lead over Jon Rosenthal in the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner race, with recent polls showing French ahead by three points amid 9-13% undecided voters and low name recognition for both candidates. French secured the Republican nomination in a May primary runoff by defeating incumbent Jim Wright, emphasizing energy sector priorities alongside cultural issues, while Rosenthal, a state representative and former oil-field engineer, highlights technical expertise on regulation and grid concerns. Texas has not elected a Democrat to the commission since 1990, yet high undecided shares among independents and some Republicans sustain competitiveness heading into the November general election. Trader pricing reflects this dynamic, with room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout, or late developments in a low-profile statewide contest.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$358
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bo French（共和黨）" at 58%, followed by "Jon Rosenthal（民主黨）" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者" is "Bo French（共和黨）" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Rosenthal（民主黨）" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.