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icon for CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）
政治·中期

CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）

icon for CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）
政治·中期

CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）

最新
Polymarket
最新

Connie Chan

$0 交易量

89%

斯科特·維納

$0 交易量

45%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 11th congressional district, a heavily Democratic San Francisco area seat, the November 2026 general election features a tight matchup between state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan after both advanced from the June top-two primary. The race remains closely contested due to overlapping progressive and moderate Democratic voter bases, strong local name recognition for each candidate, and divided establishment support including Pelosi's reported backing for Chan. Key factors sustaining the narrow trader consensus include fundraising disparities, turnout patterns in urban precincts, and limited crossover appeal in a low-competition environment. Upcoming debates, additional endorsements, or shifts in national Democratic messaging could widen the gap before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 11th congressional district, a heavily Democratic San Francisco area seat, the November 2026 general election features a tight matchup between state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan after both advanced from the June top-two primary. The race remains closely contested due to overlapping progressive and moderate Democratic voter bases, strong local name recognition for each candidate, and divided establishment support including Pelosi's reported backing for Chan. Key factors sustaining the narrow trader consensus include fundraising disparities, turnout patterns in urban precincts, and limited crossover appeal in a low-competition environment. Upcoming debates, additional endorsements, or shifts in national Democratic messaging could widen the gap before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Connie Chan" at 45%, followed by "斯科特·維納" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" is "Connie Chan" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "斯科特·維納" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.