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icon for CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）
政治·中期

CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）

icon for CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）
政治·中期

CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）

Polymarket

$15,903 交易量

Polymarket

$15,903 交易量

斯科特·維納

$4,148 交易量

66%

Connie Chan

$11,755 交易量

36%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener holds a clear lead in trader consensus for California's 11th Congressional District seat, reflecting his stronger primary performance and broader name recognition across San Francisco. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Wiener captured 40.7% of the vote to advance alongside Connie Chan at 29.7%, with Saikat Chakrabarti finishing third. Both candidates are Democrats in the heavily Democratic district vacated by Nancy Pelosi. Wiener's state Senate record on housing production and budget matters, combined with endorsements from the California Democratic Party, has supported his positioning ahead of the November general election. Chan draws support from labor groups and received Pelosi's endorsement late in the primary. An October 1 debate and remaining campaign period offer opportunities for shifts in voter sentiment before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,903
結束日期
2026-11-04
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener holds a clear lead in trader consensus for California's 11th Congressional District seat, reflecting his stronger primary performance and broader name recognition across San Francisco. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Wiener captured 40.7% of the vote to advance alongside Connie Chan at 29.7%, with Saikat Chakrabarti finishing third. Both candidates are Democrats in the heavily Democratic district vacated by Nancy Pelosi. Wiener's state Senate record on housing production and budget matters, combined with endorsements from the California Democratic Party, has supported his positioning ahead of the November general election. Chan draws support from labor groups and received Pelosi's endorsement late in the primary. An October 1 debate and remaining campaign period offer opportunities for shifts in voter sentiment before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,903
結束日期
2026-11-04
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "斯科特·維納" at 66%, followed by "Connie Chan" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" has generated $15.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" is "斯科特·維納" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Connie Chan" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-11眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.