Several open gubernatorial seats and toss-up or lean ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball concentrate trader attention on Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas. Recent primaries have finalized competitive matchups, including Rob Sand against Zach Lahn in Iowa and emerging fields in Ohio after term limits removed incumbents. State partisan voting indexes near the national average, combined with shifting polling averages in battlegrounds, keep implied probabilities clustered as no single contest has pulled decisively ahead. Late-cycle developments such as candidate debates, economic indicators, or turnout shifts in swing areas could widen margins and realign the market before November voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於俄亥俄州 18.5%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
Iowa 11.8%
$11,682 交易量
$11,682 交易量
2026-11-03
俄亥俄州
19%
Wisconsin
13%
Kansas
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
12%
佛羅里達州
18%
Alaska
10%
Georgia
9%
New Hampshire
9%
Nevada
7%
密西根州
5%
Vermont
4%
Arizona
4%
Oregon
3%
Minnesota
3%
Maine
2%
科羅拉多州
2%
New Mexico
2%
俄亥俄州 18.5%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
Iowa 11.8%
$11,682 交易量
$11,682 交易量
2026-11-03
俄亥俄州
$423 交易量
19%
Wisconsin
$970 交易量
13%
Kansas
$2,109 交易量
12%
Iowa
$1,480 交易量
12%
Texas
$1,569 交易量
12%
佛羅里達州
$224 交易量
18%
Alaska
$207 交易量
10%
Georgia
$297 交易量
9%
New Hampshire
$272 交易量
9%
Nevada
$2,034 交易量
7%
密西根州
$329 交易量
5%
Vermont
$176 交易量
4%
Arizona
$269 交易量
4%
Oregon
$319 交易量
3%
Minnesota
$214 交易量
3%
Maine
$355 交易量
2%
科羅拉多州
$243 交易量
2%
New Mexico
$194 交易量
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open gubernatorial seats and toss-up or lean ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball concentrate trader attention on Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas. Recent primaries have finalized competitive matchups, including Rob Sand against Zach Lahn in Iowa and emerging fields in Ohio after term limits removed incumbents. State partisan voting indexes near the national average, combined with shifting polling averages in battlegrounds, keep implied probabilities clustered as no single contest has pulled decisively ahead. Late-cycle developments such as candidate debates, economic indicators, or turnout shifts in swing areas could widen margins and realign the market before November voting.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$11,682結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open gubernatorial seats and toss-up or lean ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball concentrate trader attention on Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas. Recent primaries have finalized competitive matchups, including Rob Sand against Zach Lahn in Iowa and emerging fields in Ohio after term limits removed incumbents. State partisan voting indexes near the national average, combined with shifting polling averages in battlegrounds, keep implied probabilities clustered as no single contest has pulled decisively ahead. Late-cycle developments such as candidate debates, economic indicators, or turnout shifts in swing areas could widen margins and realign the market before November voting.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,682結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several open gubernatorial seats and toss-up or lean ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball concentrate trader attention on Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas. Recent primaries have finalized competitive matchups, including Rob Sand against Zach Lahn in Iowa and emerging fields in Ohio after term limits removed incumbents. State partisan voting indexes near the national average, combined with shifting polling averages in battlegrounds, keep implied probabilities clustered as no single contest has pulled decisively ahead. Late-cycle developments such as candidate debates, economic indicators, or turnout shifts in swing areas could widen margins and realign the market before November voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions