Aisha Wahab holds the leading position in trader consensus for California's 14th congressional district seat, reflecting her status as the recent special election victor and current officeholder. She defeated Melissa Hernandez by a 53.1% to 46.9% margin in the August 2026 special general election to complete the unexpired term, following Eric Swalwell's April resignation. That outcome established Wahab's incumbency advantage ahead of the November 2026 contest for the full term, where the same two Democratic candidates advanced from the June primary. External spending, including significant independent expenditures opposing Wahab, narrowed the special election margin but did not alter the result. The solidly Democratic character of the East Bay district continues to shape assessments of the rematch, with no major intervening developments reported since the August vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$22,288 交易量
$22,288 交易量
2026-11-03
艾莎·瓦哈布
77%
梅利莎·赫南德茲
23%
$22,288 交易量
$22,288 交易量
2026-11-03
艾莎·瓦哈布
$13,037 交易量
77%
梅利莎·赫南德茲
$9,251 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab holds the leading position in trader consensus for California's 14th congressional district seat, reflecting her status as the recent special election victor and current officeholder. She defeated Melissa Hernandez by a 53.1% to 46.9% margin in the August 2026 special general election to complete the unexpired term, following Eric Swalwell's April resignation. That outcome established Wahab's incumbency advantage ahead of the November 2026 contest for the full term, where the same two Democratic candidates advanced from the June primary. External spending, including significant independent expenditures opposing Wahab, narrowed the special election margin but did not alter the result. The solidly Democratic character of the East Bay district continues to shape assessments of the rematch, with no major intervening developments reported since the August vote.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
交易量
$22,288結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab holds the leading position in trader consensus for California's 14th congressional district seat, reflecting her status as the recent special election victor and current officeholder. She defeated Melissa Hernandez by a 53.1% to 46.9% margin in the August 2026 special general election to complete the unexpired term, following Eric Swalwell's April resignation. That outcome established Wahab's incumbency advantage ahead of the November 2026 contest for the full term, where the same two Democratic candidates advanced from the June primary. External spending, including significant independent expenditures opposing Wahab, narrowed the special election margin but did not alter the result. The solidly Democratic character of the East Bay district continues to shape assessments of the rematch, with no major intervening developments reported since the August vote.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,288結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETAisha Wahab holds the leading position in trader consensus for California's 14th congressional district seat, reflecting her status as the recent special election victor and current officeholder. She defeated Melissa Hernandez by a 53.1% to 46.9% margin in the August 2026 special general election to complete the unexpired term, following Eric Swalwell's April resignation. That outcome established Wahab's incumbency advantage ahead of the November 2026 contest for the full term, where the same two Democratic candidates advanced from the June primary. External spending, including significant independent expenditures opposing Wahab, narrowed the special election margin but did not alter the result. The solidly Democratic character of the East Bay district continues to shape assessments of the rematch, with no major intervening developments reported since the August vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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