Redistricting finalized in late 2025 shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district sharply leftward by concentrating Salt Lake City voters, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+12 and a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts. This open-seat environment, with the prior Republican incumbent moving to another district, has elevated Democratic primary contenders including Ben McAdams and Liban Mohamed ahead of the June 23 primary, while Republican Riley Owen faces limited opposition in a district where recent presidential results favor Democrats by wide margins. Trader pricing reflects these structural changes and the absence of offsetting Republican advantages or late developments that could alter the general-election outlook before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$27,212 交易量
$27,212 交易量
2026-11-04
民主黨
74%
共和黨
8%
$27,212 交易量
$27,212 交易量
2026-11-04
民主黨
$1,431 交易量
74%
共和黨
$25,782 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting finalized in late 2025 shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district sharply leftward by concentrating Salt Lake City voters, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+12 and a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts. This open-seat environment, with the prior Republican incumbent moving to another district, has elevated Democratic primary contenders including Ben McAdams and Liban Mohamed ahead of the June 23 primary, while Republican Riley Owen faces limited opposition in a district where recent presidential results favor Democrats by wide margins. Trader pricing reflects these structural changes and the absence of offsetting Republican advantages or late developments that could alter the general-election outlook before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$27,212結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting finalized in late 2025 shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district sharply leftward by concentrating Salt Lake City voters, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+12 and a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts. This open-seat environment, with the prior Republican incumbent moving to another district, has elevated Democratic primary contenders including Ben McAdams and Liban Mohamed ahead of the June 23 primary, while Republican Riley Owen faces limited opposition in a district where recent presidential results favor Democrats by wide margins. Trader pricing reflects these structural changes and the absence of offsetting Republican advantages or late developments that could alter the general-election outlook before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,212結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting finalized in late 2025 shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district sharply leftward by concentrating Salt Lake City voters, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+12 and a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts. This open-seat environment, with the prior Republican incumbent moving to another district, has elevated Democratic primary contenders including Ben McAdams and Liban Mohamed ahead of the June 23 primary, while Republican Riley Owen faces limited opposition in a district where recent presidential results favor Democrats by wide margins. Trader pricing reflects these structural changes and the absence of offsetting Republican advantages or late developments that could alter the general-election outlook before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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