Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds a clear edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, where the partisan voting index sits at R+6 following recent redistricting. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, citing Salazar’s prior 60 percent general-election margin and robust early fundraising. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including potential high-profile entrants, remain divided ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries, limiting any immediate challenge. Trader pricing at 52.5 percent for the Republican nominee versus 25.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s structural lean and historical patterns in this Miami-area seat, where turnout among Republican-leaning voters has consistently prevailed in recent cycles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$11,660 交易量
$11,660 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
55%
民主黨
26%
$11,660 交易量
$11,660 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$4,732 交易量
55%
民主黨
$6,928 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds a clear edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, where the partisan voting index sits at R+6 following recent redistricting. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, citing Salazar’s prior 60 percent general-election margin and robust early fundraising. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including potential high-profile entrants, remain divided ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries, limiting any immediate challenge. Trader pricing at 52.5 percent for the Republican nominee versus 25.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s structural lean and historical patterns in this Miami-area seat, where turnout among Republican-leaning voters has consistently prevailed in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$11,660結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds a clear edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, where the partisan voting index sits at R+6 following recent redistricting. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, citing Salazar’s prior 60 percent general-election margin and robust early fundraising. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including potential high-profile entrants, remain divided ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries, limiting any immediate challenge. Trader pricing at 52.5 percent for the Republican nominee versus 25.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s structural lean and historical patterns in this Miami-area seat, where turnout among Republican-leaning voters has consistently prevailed in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,660結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds a clear edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, where the partisan voting index sits at R+6 following recent redistricting. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, citing Salazar’s prior 60 percent general-election margin and robust early fundraising. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including potential high-profile entrants, remain divided ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries, limiting any immediate challenge. Trader pricing at 52.5 percent for the Republican nominee versus 25.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s structural lean and historical patterns in this Miami-area seat, where turnout among Republican-leaning voters has consistently prevailed in recent cycles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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