Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a long-serving Democratic incumbent in Bobby Scott, who has held the seat since 1993 and won his most recent general election with roughly 70 percent of the vote. The district covers core Hampton Roads communities with a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in a partisan voting index around D+18 and strong performance for Democratic presidential candidates. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 midterm. Republican challengers have filed but show minimal fundraising and organization relative to the incumbent. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$43,090 交易量
$43,090 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
6%
$43,090 交易量
$43,090 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$21,441 交易量
95%
共和黨
$21,649 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a long-serving Democratic incumbent in Bobby Scott, who has held the seat since 1993 and won his most recent general election with roughly 70 percent of the vote. The district covers core Hampton Roads communities with a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in a partisan voting index around D+18 and strong performance for Democratic presidential candidates. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 midterm. Republican challengers have filed but show minimal fundraising and organization relative to the incumbent. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$43,090結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a long-serving Democratic incumbent in Bobby Scott, who has held the seat since 1993 and won his most recent general election with roughly 70 percent of the vote. The district covers core Hampton Roads communities with a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in a partisan voting index around D+18 and strong performance for Democratic presidential candidates. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 midterm. Republican challengers have filed but show minimal fundraising and organization relative to the incumbent. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$43,090結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a long-serving Democratic incumbent in Bobby Scott, who has held the seat since 1993 and won his most recent general election with roughly 70 percent of the vote. The district covers core Hampton Roads communities with a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in a partisan voting index around D+18 and strong performance for Democratic presidential candidates. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 midterm. Republican challengers have filed but show minimal fundraising and organization relative to the incumbent. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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