2028年民主黨總統提名人

2028年民主黨總統提名人 — 討論

siick · 2025-07-11T18:14:44.000Z

關於2028年民主黨總統提名人的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

喬恩·奧索夫 26.2%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 14.5%

加文·紐森 10.0%

喬什·夏皮羅 5.5%

$1,320,878,390 交易量

2028-11-07

賺 3.25% 收益

喬恩·奧索夫

$15,010,409 交易量

26%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$15,996,768 交易量

15%

加文·紐森

$28,724,619 交易量

10%

喬什·夏皮羅

$10,805,148 交易量

皮特·布塔朱吉

$12,435,608 交易量

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$14,826,540 交易量

安迪·貝希爾

$13,728,908 交易量

拉斐爾·沃諾克

$34,655,434 交易量

羅·卡納

$11,904,349 交易量

韋斯·摩爾

$18,774,808 交易量

馬克·凱利

$18,292,629 交易量

詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$12,018,797 交易量

喬恩·奧索夫 26.2%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 14.5%

加文·紐森 10.0%

喬什·夏皮羅 5.5%

26.2%

喬恩·奧索夫

14.5%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

10.0%

加文·紐森

5.5%

喬什·夏皮羅

$1,320,878,390 交易量

2028-11-07

賺 3.25% 收益

喬恩·奧索夫

$15,010,409 交易量

26%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$15,996,768 交易量

15%

加文·紐森

$28,724,619 交易量

10%

喬什·夏皮羅

$10,805,148 交易量

皮特·布塔朱吉

$12,435,608 交易量

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$14,826,540 交易量

安迪·貝希爾

$13,728,908 交易量

拉斐爾·沃諾克

$34,655,434 交易量

羅·卡納

$11,904,349 交易量

韋斯·摩爾

$18,774,808 交易量

馬克·凱利

$18,292,629 交易量

詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$12,018,797 交易量

J.B. Pritzker

$16,010,455 交易量

阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德

$2,100,086 交易量

克里斯·範·霍倫

$3,429,253 交易量

科里·布克

$26,923,888 交易量

拉姆·伊曼紐爾

$15,060,374 交易量

巨石強森

$12,580,888 交易量

格雷琴·惠特默

$12,283,975 交易量

切爾西·克林頓

$51,134,922 交易量

米歇爾·奧巴馬

$26,857,166 交易量

羅伊·庫珀

$32,584,816 交易量

<1%

喬恩·斯圖爾特

$24,972,537 交易量

<1%

魯本·加列戈

$9,438,593 交易量

<1%

伯尼·桑德斯

$52,983,762 交易量

<1%

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$44,444,087 交易量

<1%

克里斯·墨菲

$17,801,897 交易量

<1%

MrBeast

$41,386,654 交易量

<1%

亨特·拜登

$44,960,472 交易量

<1%

菲爾·墨菲

$43,068,688 交易量

<1%

佐赫蘭·曼達尼

$39,106,787 交易量

<1%

賈思敏·克羅克特

$36,542,629 交易量

<1%

吉娜·雷蒙多

$36,209,873 交易量

<1%

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$34,515,208 交易量

<1%

賈里德·波利斯

$27,637,354 交易量

<1%

馬克·庫班

$23,932,888 交易量

<1%

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$23,594,711 交易量

<1%

艾比蓋兒·斯潘伯格

$3,215,182 交易量

<1%

Josh Stein

$2,842,379 交易量

<1%

哈基姆·傑弗瑞斯

$2,633,186 交易量

<1%

伊麗莎·斯洛特金

$2,220,848 交易量

<1%

米奇·蘭德里厄

$1,515,300 交易量

<1%

Shawn Fain

$1,415,776 交易量

<1%

Rob Sand

$400,955 交易量

<1%

歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$54,667,972 交易量

<1%

安德魯·楊

$49,284,155 交易量

<1%

蒂姆·瓦爾茲

$44,403,365 交易量

<1%

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$44,358,064 交易量

<1%

喬治·克魯尼

$43,930,882 交易量

<1%

貝托·奧羅克

$43,073,248 交易量

<1%

金·卡戴珊

$43,010,720 交易量

<1%

莉茲·切尼

$39,000,035 交易量

<1%

約翰·費特曼

$26,137,801 交易量

<1%

Graham Platner

$8,664,806 交易量

<1%

亞歷克斯·帕迪利亞

$1,099,937 交易量

<1%

亞當·漢密爾頓

$985,273 交易量

<1%

亞當·希夫

$717,185 交易量

<1%

斯科特·科洛姆

$565,337 交易量

<1%

市場開放時間： Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

交易量

$1,320,878,390

結束日期

2028-11-07

市場開放時間

Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

結算方

0x2f5e3684c...

交易量

$1,320,878,390

結束日期

2028-11-07

市場開放時間

Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

結算方

0x2f5e3684c...

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年民主黨總統提名人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 58+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "喬恩·奧索夫" at 26%, followed by "亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年民主黨總統提名人" has generated $1.3 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年民主黨總統提名人," browse the 58+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主黨總統提名人" is "喬恩·奧索夫" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年民主黨總統提名人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2028年民主黨總統提名人." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.3 billion traded on “2028年民主黨總統提名人,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2028年民主黨總統提名人," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 26¢ for "喬恩·奧索夫" in the "2028年民主黨總統提名人" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 26% chance that "喬恩·奧索夫" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 26¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 74¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2028年民主黨總統提名人" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Nov 7, 2028 — that's roughly over 1 year away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

The "2028年民主黨總統提名人" market has an active community of 869 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2028年民主黨總統提名人." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2028年民主黨總統提名人

2028年民主黨總統提名人

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (869)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "2028年民主黨總統提名人" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "2028年民主黨總統提名人" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "2028年民主黨總統提名人"?

What are the current odds for "2028年民主黨總統提名人"?

How will "2028年民主黨總統提名人" be resolved?

Can I follow "2028年民主黨總統提名人" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "2028年民主黨總統提名人" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "2028年民主黨總統提名人"?

What does a price of 26¢ for "喬恩·奧索夫" mean?

When does the "2028年民主黨總統提名人" market close?

What are traders saying about "2028年民主黨總統提名人"?

What is Polymarket?

2028年民主黨總統提名人

2028年民主黨總統提名人

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (869)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "2028年民主黨總統提名人" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "2028年民主黨總統提名人" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "2028年民主黨總統提名人"?

What are the current odds for "2028年民主黨總統提名人"?

How will "2028年民主黨總統提名人" be resolved?

Can I follow "2028年民主黨總統提名人" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "2028年民主黨總統提名人" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "2028年民主黨總統提名人"?

What does a price of 26¢ for "喬恩·奧索夫" mean?

When does the "2028年民主黨總統提名人" market close?

What are traders saying about "2028年民主黨總統提名人"?

What is Polymarket?