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選舉·法國

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
選舉·法國

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$53,176 交易量

2027-04-17
Polymarket

$53,176 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$3,570 交易量

89%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$3,429 交易量

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$2,084 交易量

84%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,974 交易量

73%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$468 交易量

72%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$895 交易量

55%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$818 交易量

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,615 交易量

45%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,305 交易量

55%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$275 交易量

55%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$2,066 交易量

50%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,335 交易量

49%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$2,067 交易量

43%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$715 交易量

36%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$81 交易量

40%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,419 交易量

40%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,220 交易量

37%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,346 交易量

28%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,108 交易量

25%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$395 交易量

16%

icon for 馬提厄·皮加斯

馬提厄·皮加斯

$4,360 交易量

18%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$108 交易量

26%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$688 交易量

18%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$441 交易量

15%

icon for 胡安·布蘭科

胡安·布蘭科

$1,751 交易量

14%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$747 交易量

12%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$596 交易量

11%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$998 交易量

10%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$767 交易量

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,488 交易量

15%

icon for 米歇爾-愛德華·勒克萊爾

米歇爾-愛德華·勒克萊爾

$1,151 交易量

9%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$161 交易量

9%

icon for 菲利普·德·維利耶

菲利普·德·維利耶

$691 交易量

8%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$496 交易量

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$863 交易量

7%

icon for 曼努埃爾·瓦爾斯

曼努埃爾·瓦爾斯

$350 交易量

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$237 交易量

13%

icon for 巴利·巴亞約科

巴利·巴亞約科

$1,099 交易量

6%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$1,034 交易量

6%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,573 交易量

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$252 交易量

5%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$343 交易量

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$952 交易量

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$477 交易量

4%

icon for 泰迪·里納

泰迪·里納

$148 交易量

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$795 交易量

3%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election, scheduled for April with a potential runoff, features an unusually fragmented field following Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility under term limits. Marine Le Pen’s March 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban remain the dominant uncertainty, with the Paris Court of Appeals set to rule on her appeal July 7; an upheld ban would likely shift National Rally support to Jordan Bardella. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth candidacy in early May, while Les Républicains selected Bruno Retailleau in April and center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal position themselves as alternatives. Left-leaning parties are organizing an October primary, yet persistent divisions could affect first-round consolidation. These legal, party-nomination, and coalition developments are the primary drivers shaping trader assessments of likely ballot contenders.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$53,176
結束日期
2027-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election, scheduled for April with a potential runoff, features an unusually fragmented field following Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility under term limits. Marine Le Pen’s March 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban remain the dominant uncertainty, with the Paris Court of Appeals set to rule on her appeal July 7; an upheld ban would likely shift National Rally support to Jordan Bardella. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth candidacy in early May, while Les Républicains selected Bruno Retailleau in April and center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal position themselves as alternatives. Left-leaning parties are organizing an October primary, yet persistent divisions could affect first-round consolidation. These legal, party-nomination, and coalition developments are the primary drivers shaping trader assessments of likely ballot contenders.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$53,176
結束日期
2027-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 89%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" has generated $53.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.