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icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
選舉·法國選舉

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
選舉·法國選舉

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

最新
2027-04-23
Polymarket

$9,815 交易量

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$87 交易量

40%

Jordan Bardella

$890 交易量

68%

Michel Barnier

$141 交易量

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 交易量

10%

Gabriel Attal

$549 交易量

93%

Élisabeth Borne

$81 交易量

31%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$104 交易量

28%

Jean Castex

$64 交易量

20%

Gérald Darmanin

$144 交易量

11%

Sébastien Lecornu

$75 交易量

42%

François Bayrou

$463 交易量

10%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$41 交易量

51%

Carole Delga

$148 交易量

17%

Olivier Faure

$50 交易量

48%

François Hollande

$132 交易量

51%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$81 交易量

50%

Manuel Bompard

$63 交易量

16%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,383 交易量

99%

Mathilde Panot

$84 交易量

9%

Dominique de Villepin

$14 交易量

54%

Marine Le Pen

$67 交易量

54%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With Emmanuel Macron term-limited, multiple political figures have begun declaring candidacies for the April 2027 French presidential election throughout 2026. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth bid on May 3, citing opposition to foreign policy and far-right advances, while Édouard Philippe has signaled his center-right intentions following his mayoral re-election. The Republicans selected Bruno Retailleau as their nominee in April, and Jordan Bardella remains the likely standard-bearer for the National Rally if Marine Le Pen faces disqualification. On the left, a unitary primary scheduled for October 11, 2026, seeks to consolidate candidates from the Socialists, Greens, and others amid ongoing divisions. These early moves reflect party positioning and polling trends ahead of the first-round vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$9,815
結束日期
2027-04-23
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With Emmanuel Macron term-limited, multiple political figures have begun declaring candidacies for the April 2027 French presidential election throughout 2026. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth bid on May 3, citing opposition to foreign policy and far-right advances, while Édouard Philippe has signaled his center-right intentions following his mayoral re-election. The Republicans selected Bruno Retailleau as their nominee in April, and Jordan Bardella remains the likely standard-bearer for the National Rally if Marine Le Pen faces disqualification. On the left, a unitary primary scheduled for October 11, 2026, seeks to consolidate candidates from the Socialists, Greens, and others amid ongoing divisions. These early moves reflect party positioning and polling trends ahead of the first-round vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$9,815
結束日期
2027-04-23
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 99%, followed by "Gabriel Attal" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gabriel Attal" at 93%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.