Jordan Bardella leads the National Rally candidate market at 73.5 percent because he serves as the party's current president and has consolidated support ahead of the 2027 presidential election. Marine Le Pen's March 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year public office ban, still pending appeal with a decision expected by July 2026, have accelerated his positioning as the frontrunner. Recent polls, including those from Odoxa and IFOP, show Bardella preferred over Le Pen for the nomination and leading first-round voting intentions at 35-38 percent. The party's strong performance in the March 2026 municipal elections, securing over 1,300 local seats, has further boosted momentum behind Bardella's smoother public image and broader appeal among moderate right-leaning voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Jordan Bardella 74%
Marine Le Pen 25%
Multiple Candidates 3.4%
最新
最新
2027-04-23
Marine Le Pen
25%
Jordan Bardella
74%
Multiple Candidates
3%
Jordan Bardella 74%
Marine Le Pen 25%
Multiple Candidates 3.4%
最新
最新
2027-04-23
Marine Le Pen
$1,058 交易量
25%
Jordan Bardella
$2,120 交易量
74%
Multiple Candidates
$554 交易量
3%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella leads the National Rally candidate market at 73.5 percent because he serves as the party's current president and has consolidated support ahead of the 2027 presidential election. Marine Le Pen's March 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year public office ban, still pending appeal with a decision expected by July 2026, have accelerated his positioning as the frontrunner. Recent polls, including those from Odoxa and IFOP, show Bardella preferred over Le Pen for the nomination and leading first-round voting intentions at 35-38 percent. The party's strong performance in the March 2026 municipal elections, securing over 1,300 local seats, has further boosted momentum behind Bardella's smoother public image and broader appeal among moderate right-leaning voters.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
交易量
$3,732結束日期
2027-04-23市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella leads the National Rally candidate market at 73.5 percent because he serves as the party's current president and has consolidated support ahead of the 2027 presidential election. Marine Le Pen's March 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year public office ban, still pending appeal with a decision expected by July 2026, have accelerated his positioning as the frontrunner. Recent polls, including those from Odoxa and IFOP, show Bardella preferred over Le Pen for the nomination and leading first-round voting intentions at 35-38 percent. The party's strong performance in the March 2026 municipal elections, securing over 1,300 local seats, has further boosted momentum behind Bardella's smoother public image and broader appeal among moderate right-leaning voters.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,732結束日期
2027-04-23市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jordan Bardella leads the National Rally candidate market at 73.5 percent because he serves as the party's current president and has consolidated support ahead of the 2027 presidential election. Marine Le Pen's March 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year public office ban, still pending appeal with a decision expected by July 2026, have accelerated his positioning as the frontrunner. Recent polls, including those from Odoxa and IFOP, show Bardella preferred over Le Pen for the nomination and leading first-round voting intentions at 35-38 percent. The party's strong performance in the March 2026 municipal elections, securing over 1,300 local seats, has further boosted momentum behind Bardella's smoother public image and broader appeal among moderate right-leaning voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions