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icon for 巴拉那州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

巴拉那州州長選舉贏家

icon for 巴拉那州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

巴拉那州州長選舉贏家

塞爾吉奧·莫羅 83%

Sandro Alex 16%

雷奎昂菲略 2.3%

拉斐爾·格雷卡 <1%

Polymarket

$186,278 交易量

塞爾吉奧·莫羅 83%

Sandro Alex 16%

雷奎昂菲略 2.3%

拉斐爾·格雷卡 <1%

Polymarket

$186,278 交易量

塞爾吉奧·莫羅

$121,786 交易量

83%

Sandro Alex

$18,369 交易量

16%

雷奎昂菲略

$22,411 交易量

2%

拉斐爾·格雷卡

$3,403 交易量

<1%

Guto Silva

$3,022 交易量

<1%

Alexandre Curi

$5,452 交易量

<1%

貝托·里查

$2,625 交易量

<1%

Enio Verri

$3,396 交易量

<1%

路易斯·弗蘭薩

$5,812 交易量

<1%

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Paraná governor race due to consistent polling dominance in recent surveys, with intentions of vote near or above 45% and potential for a first-round victory on October 4. The open contest stems from term limits barring incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) from seeking a third consecutive mandate. Moro, a sitting senator and former federal judge prominent in the Lava Jato anti-corruption proceedings, secured his party's nomination in August and has conducted active campaigning including regional events. Trailing candidates such as Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD) register in the low-to-mid 20% range in the latest AtlasIntel and Paraná Pesquisas data, with all others far behind. Trader pricing aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of Moro's statewide recognition and party infrastructure.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$186,278
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Paraná governor race due to consistent polling dominance in recent surveys, with intentions of vote near or above 45% and potential for a first-round victory on October 4. The open contest stems from term limits barring incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) from seeking a third consecutive mandate. Moro, a sitting senator and former federal judge prominent in the Lava Jato anti-corruption proceedings, secured his party's nomination in August and has conducted active campaigning including regional events. Trailing candidates such as Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD) register in the low-to-mid 20% range in the latest AtlasIntel and Paraná Pesquisas data, with all others far behind. Trader pricing aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of Moro's statewide recognition and party infrastructure.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$186,278
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"巴拉那州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "塞爾吉奧·莫羅" at 83%, followed by "Sandro Alex" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "巴拉那州州長選舉贏家" has generated $186.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "巴拉那州州長選舉贏家," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "巴拉那州州長選舉贏家" is "塞爾吉奧·莫羅" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sandro Alex" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "巴拉那州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.