Sergio Moro's position as the clear frontrunner in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race stems from consistent polling leads of 35-47% in first-round scenarios across multiple surveys through July 2026, far ahead of rivals such as Requião Filho and Rafael Greca. His official nomination by the PL party on August 1, backed by alliances including with Podemos and Novo, along with support from Flávio Bolsonaro, has reinforced this standing ahead of the October election. Traders price his implied probability highest due to these sustained advantages in voter intention data and the absence of major recent shifts favoring other declared candidates. The race remains subject to standard electoral variables like turnout and late alliances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於塞爾吉奧·莫羅 83%
Alexandre Curi 4.4%
Enio Verri 2.9%
拉斐爾·格雷卡 2.9%
$37,439 交易量
$37,439 交易量
2026-10-05
塞爾吉奧·莫羅
83%
Alexandre Curi
4%
Enio Verri
3%
拉斐爾·格雷卡
3%
Guto Silva
3%
雷奎昂菲略
2%
貝托·里查
2%
路易斯·弗蘭薩
1%
塞爾吉奧·莫羅 83%
Alexandre Curi 4.4%
Enio Verri 2.9%
拉斐爾·格雷卡 2.9%
$37,439 交易量
$37,439 交易量
2026-10-05
塞爾吉奧·莫羅
$29,720 交易量
83%
Alexandre Curi
$452 交易量
4%
Enio Verri
$309 交易量
3%
拉斐爾·格雷卡
$352 交易量
3%
Guto Silva
$647 交易量
3%
雷奎昂菲略
$5,417 交易量
2%
貝托·里查
$371 交易量
2%
路易斯·弗蘭薩
$172 交易量
1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro's position as the clear frontrunner in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race stems from consistent polling leads of 35-47% in first-round scenarios across multiple surveys through July 2026, far ahead of rivals such as Requião Filho and Rafael Greca. His official nomination by the PL party on August 1, backed by alliances including with Podemos and Novo, along with support from Flávio Bolsonaro, has reinforced this standing ahead of the October election. Traders price his implied probability highest due to these sustained advantages in voter intention data and the absence of major recent shifts favoring other declared candidates. The race remains subject to standard electoral variables like turnout and late alliances.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
交易量
$37,439結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro's position as the clear frontrunner in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race stems from consistent polling leads of 35-47% in first-round scenarios across multiple surveys through July 2026, far ahead of rivals such as Requião Filho and Rafael Greca. His official nomination by the PL party on August 1, backed by alliances including with Podemos and Novo, along with support from Flávio Bolsonaro, has reinforced this standing ahead of the October election. Traders price his implied probability highest due to these sustained advantages in voter intention data and the absence of major recent shifts favoring other declared candidates. The race remains subject to standard electoral variables like turnout and late alliances.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$37,439結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sergio Moro's position as the clear frontrunner in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race stems from consistent polling leads of 35-47% in first-round scenarios across multiple surveys through July 2026, far ahead of rivals such as Requião Filho and Rafael Greca. His official nomination by the PL party on August 1, backed by alliances including with Podemos and Novo, along with support from Flávio Bolsonaro, has reinforced this standing ahead of the October election. Traders price his implied probability highest due to these sustained advantages in voter intention data and the absence of major recent shifts favoring other declared candidates. The race remains subject to standard electoral variables like turnout and late alliances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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