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政治·全球選舉

巴拉那州州長選舉贏家

icon for 巴拉那州州長選舉贏家
政治·全球選舉

巴拉那州州長選舉贏家

塞爾吉奧·莫羅 78%

雷奎昂菲略 11%

拉斐爾·格雷卡 10%

Alexandre Curi 4.1%

Polymarket
最新

塞爾吉奧·莫羅 78%

雷奎昂菲略 11%

拉斐爾·格雷卡 10%

Alexandre Curi 4.1%

Polymarket
最新

塞爾吉奧·莫羅

$458 交易量

78%

雷奎昂菲略

$133 交易量

11%

拉斐爾·格雷卡

$171 交易量

10%

Alexandre Curi

$133 交易量

4%

貝托·里查

$192 交易量

3%

Enio Verri

$118 交易量

1%

Guto Silva

$118 交易量

1%

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race, scheduled for October 4, as the clear frontrunner in recent polling and among traders. June surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Instituto Veritá show him at approximately 42% in first-round scenarios, more than 20 points ahead of Requião Filho, with Rafael Greca, Sandro Alex, and other names trailing further behind. This positioning stems from Moro’s established Senate tenure representing the state, anti-corruption profile, and alignment with center-right forces including Flávio Bolsonaro, which has consolidated support while disrupting PSD coordination around the incumbent governor’s preferred successor. High approval ratings for the term-limited Ratinho Júnior administration have not translated to his chosen candidate, leaving room for volatility as two-thirds of voters indicate they could still shift preferences before election day.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,324
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race, scheduled for October 4, as the clear frontrunner in recent polling and among traders. June surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Instituto Veritá show him at approximately 42% in first-round scenarios, more than 20 points ahead of Requião Filho, with Rafael Greca, Sandro Alex, and other names trailing further behind. This positioning stems from Moro’s established Senate tenure representing the state, anti-corruption profile, and alignment with center-right forces including Flávio Bolsonaro, which has consolidated support while disrupting PSD coordination around the incumbent governor’s preferred successor. High approval ratings for the term-limited Ratinho Júnior administration have not translated to his chosen candidate, leaving room for volatility as two-thirds of voters indicate they could still shift preferences before election day.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,324
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"巴拉那州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "塞爾吉奧·莫羅" at 78%, followed by "雷奎昂菲略" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"巴拉那州州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "巴拉那州州長選舉贏家," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "巴拉那州州長選舉贏家" is "塞爾吉奧·莫羅" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "雷奎昂菲略" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "巴拉那州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.