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icon for 巴伊亞州州長選舉獲勝者

巴伊亞州州長選舉獲勝者

icon for 巴伊亞州州長選舉獲勝者

巴伊亞州州長選舉獲勝者

傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯 50%

ACM Neto 48%

克萊伯·羅薩 <1%

若澤·卡洛斯·阿勒盧亞 <1%

Polymarket

$107,708 交易量

傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯 50%

ACM Neto 48%

克萊伯·羅薩 <1%

若澤·卡洛斯·阿勒盧亞 <1%

Polymarket

$107,708 交易量

icon for 傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯

傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯

$34,629 交易量

50%

icon for ACM Neto

ACM Neto

$35,900 交易量

48%

icon for 克萊伯·羅薩

克萊伯·羅薩

$11,407 交易量

<1%

icon for 若澤·卡洛斯·阿勒盧亞

若澤·卡洛斯·阿勒盧亞

$9,514 交易量

<1%

icon for João Roma

João Roma

$5,186 交易量

<1%

icon for 布魯諾·索亞雷斯·雷斯

布魯諾·索亞雷斯·雷斯

$5,325 交易量

<1%

icon for 魯伊·科斯塔

魯伊·科斯塔

$5,747 交易量

<1%

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT holds a narrow 49.5% edge in trader pricing over ACM Neto of União Brasil at 47.5%, reflecting a rematch that remains tightly contested into mid-2026. Recent Quaest polling showed the candidates in a statistical tie around 41-37%, while Rodrigues’s approval ratings have stabilized near 56-61% amid steady marks on education and infrastructure. The race has tightened after early advantages for Neto narrowed with the incumbent’s recovery and shifts in municipal support. The August 9 debate on Band Bahia marked the first major head-to-head exchange, though its impact on voter intention remains unclear. Key variables include ongoing polling trends, Bahia’s economic conditions, and national alignments as Neto backs the right-wing bloc.

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$107,708
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT holds a narrow 49.5% edge in trader pricing over ACM Neto of União Brasil at 47.5%, reflecting a rematch that remains tightly contested into mid-2026. Recent Quaest polling showed the candidates in a statistical tie around 41-37%, while Rodrigues’s approval ratings have stabilized near 56-61% amid steady marks on education and infrastructure. The race has tightened after early advantages for Neto narrowed with the incumbent’s recovery and shifts in municipal support. The August 9 debate on Band Bahia marked the first major head-to-head exchange, though its impact on voter intention remains unclear. Key variables include ongoing polling trends, Bahia’s economic conditions, and national alignments as Neto backs the right-wing bloc.

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$107,708
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"巴伊亞州州長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯" at 50%, followed by "ACM Neto" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "巴伊亞州州長選舉獲勝者" has generated $107.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "巴伊亞州州長選舉獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "巴伊亞州州長選舉獲勝者" is "傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ACM Neto" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "巴伊亞州州長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.