Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT holds a narrow 49.5% edge in trader pricing over ACM Neto of União Brasil at 47.5%, reflecting a rematch that remains tightly contested into mid-2026. Recent Quaest polling showed the candidates in a statistical tie around 41-37%, while Rodrigues’s approval ratings have stabilized near 56-61% amid steady marks on education and infrastructure. The race has tightened after early advantages for Neto narrowed with the incumbent’s recovery and shifts in municipal support. The August 9 debate on Band Bahia marked the first major head-to-head exchange, though its impact on voter intention remains unclear. Key variables include ongoing polling trends, Bahia’s economic conditions, and national alignments as Neto backs the right-wing bloc.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯 50%
ACM Neto 48%
克萊伯·羅薩 <1%
若澤·卡洛斯·阿勒盧亞 <1%
$107,708 交易量
$107,708 交易量
2026-10-04
傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯
50%
ACM Neto
48%
克萊伯·羅薩
<1%
若澤·卡洛斯·阿勒盧亞
<1%
João Roma
<1%
布魯諾·索亞雷斯·雷斯
<1%
魯伊·科斯塔
<1%
傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯 50%
ACM Neto 48%
克萊伯·羅薩 <1%
若澤·卡洛斯·阿勒盧亞 <1%
$107,708 交易量
$107,708 交易量
2026-10-04
傑羅尼莫·羅德里格斯
$34,629 交易量
50%
ACM Neto
$35,900 交易量
48%
克萊伯·羅薩
$11,407 交易量
<1%
若澤·卡洛斯·阿勒盧亞
$9,514 交易量
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 交易量
<1%
布魯諾·索亞雷斯·雷斯
$5,325 交易量
<1%
魯伊·科斯塔
$5,747 交易量
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT holds a narrow 49.5% edge in trader pricing over ACM Neto of União Brasil at 47.5%, reflecting a rematch that remains tightly contested into mid-2026. Recent Quaest polling showed the candidates in a statistical tie around 41-37%, while Rodrigues’s approval ratings have stabilized near 56-61% amid steady marks on education and infrastructure. The race has tightened after early advantages for Neto narrowed with the incumbent’s recovery and shifts in municipal support. The August 9 debate on Band Bahia marked the first major head-to-head exchange, though its impact on voter intention remains unclear. Key variables include ongoing polling trends, Bahia’s economic conditions, and national alignments as Neto backs the right-wing bloc.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
交易量
$107,708結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT holds a narrow 49.5% edge in trader pricing over ACM Neto of União Brasil at 47.5%, reflecting a rematch that remains tightly contested into mid-2026. Recent Quaest polling showed the candidates in a statistical tie around 41-37%, while Rodrigues’s approval ratings have stabilized near 56-61% amid steady marks on education and infrastructure. The race has tightened after early advantages for Neto narrowed with the incumbent’s recovery and shifts in municipal support. The August 9 debate on Band Bahia marked the first major head-to-head exchange, though its impact on voter intention remains unclear. Key variables include ongoing polling trends, Bahia’s economic conditions, and national alignments as Neto backs the right-wing bloc.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$107,708結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT holds a narrow 49.5% edge in trader pricing over ACM Neto of União Brasil at 47.5%, reflecting a rematch that remains tightly contested into mid-2026. Recent Quaest polling showed the candidates in a statistical tie around 41-37%, while Rodrigues’s approval ratings have stabilized near 56-61% amid steady marks on education and infrastructure. The race has tightened after early advantages for Neto narrowed with the incumbent’s recovery and shifts in municipal support. The August 9 debate on Band Bahia marked the first major head-to-head exchange, though its impact on voter intention remains unclear. Key variables include ongoing polling trends, Bahia’s economic conditions, and national alignments as Neto backs the right-wing bloc.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions