Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) commands trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, driven by consistent leads in recent polls like the DOXA survey from May 1-5, where he topped scenarios at 28-30% ahead of Alexandre Kalil (21-24%) and Mateus Simões (7%), and the earlier Genial/Quaest poll from late April showing him ahead in first- and second-round matchups with highly decided voters. The PL party's recent decision to support Cleitinho has consolidated right-leaning backing amid a fragmented field, elevating him over Rodrigo Pacheco (18%), whose support softened in newer polling. Opposition remains divided, but party conventions and candidate filings by mid-August could reshape coalitions before the October 4 first round.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Cleitinho Azevedo 55%
Rodrigo Pacheco 18%
Alexandre Kalil 8.8%
Gabriel Azevedo 5.1%
$17,893 交易量
$17,893 交易量

Cleitinho Azevedo
55%

Rodrigo Pacheco
18%

Alexandre Kalil
9%

Gabriel Azevedo
5%

Tadeu Leite
5%

Alexandre Silveira
4%

Aécio Neves
4%

Nikolas Ferreira
3%

本奧尼·門德斯
3%

Mateus Simões
2%
Cleitinho Azevedo 55%
Rodrigo Pacheco 18%
Alexandre Kalil 8.8%
Gabriel Azevedo 5.1%
$17,893 交易量
$17,893 交易量

Cleitinho Azevedo
55%

Rodrigo Pacheco
18%

Alexandre Kalil
9%

Gabriel Azevedo
5%

Tadeu Leite
5%

Alexandre Silveira
4%

Aécio Neves
4%

Nikolas Ferreira
3%

本奧尼·門德斯
3%

Mateus Simões
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) commands trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, driven by consistent leads in recent polls like the DOXA survey from May 1-5, where he topped scenarios at 28-30% ahead of Alexandre Kalil (21-24%) and Mateus Simões (7%), and the earlier Genial/Quaest poll from late April showing him ahead in first- and second-round matchups with highly decided voters. The PL party's recent decision to support Cleitinho has consolidated right-leaning backing amid a fragmented field, elevating him over Rodrigo Pacheco (18%), whose support softened in newer polling. Opposition remains divided, but party conventions and candidate filings by mid-August could reshape coalitions before the October 4 first round.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions