Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) holds a clear lead in Minas Gerais gubernatorial polling for the October 2026 election, with surveys showing him ahead in first-round and runoff scenarios amid a fragmented field. His position strengthened after repeated public confirmations of his candidacy in early August, following party indecision and a brief announcement that he would not run. Incumbent Mateus Simões (PSD) and challengers including Alexandre Kalil (PDT) trail significantly, reflecting limited consolidation behind alternatives. Traders appear to weigh Azevedo’s consistent polling advantage and conservative base against ongoing coalition negotiations and the state’s history of competitive races, resulting in the pronounced gap in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Cleitinho Azevedo 64.3%
Alexandre Kalil 9.4%
Mateus Simões 8.0%
弗拉維奧·羅斯科 5.1%
$352,938 交易量
$352,938 交易量

Cleitinho Azevedo
64%

Alexandre Kalil
9%

Mateus Simões
8%

弗拉維奧·羅斯科
5%

帕特魯斯·安納尼亞斯
5%

Rodrigo Pacheco
1%

本奧尼·門德斯
1%

Gabriel Azevedo
1%

Euclydes Pettersen
1%

路易斯·愛德華多·法爾考
1%

馬塞洛·阿羅
<1%

Gleidson Azevedo
<1%

Nikolas Ferreira
<1%

Aécio Neves
<1%

維托里奧·梅迪奧利
<1%

Tadeu Leite
<1%

Alexandre Silveira
<1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 64.3%
Alexandre Kalil 9.4%
Mateus Simões 8.0%
弗拉維奧·羅斯科 5.1%
$352,938 交易量
$352,938 交易量

Cleitinho Azevedo
64%

Alexandre Kalil
9%

Mateus Simões
8%

弗拉維奧·羅斯科
5%

帕特魯斯·安納尼亞斯
5%

Rodrigo Pacheco
1%

本奧尼·門德斯
1%

Gabriel Azevedo
1%

Euclydes Pettersen
1%

路易斯·愛德華多·法爾考
1%

馬塞洛·阿羅
<1%

Gleidson Azevedo
<1%

Nikolas Ferreira
<1%

Aécio Neves
<1%

維托里奧·梅迪奧利
<1%

Tadeu Leite
<1%

Alexandre Silveira
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) holds a clear lead in Minas Gerais gubernatorial polling for the October 2026 election, with surveys showing him ahead in first-round and runoff scenarios amid a fragmented field. His position strengthened after repeated public confirmations of his candidacy in early August, following party indecision and a brief announcement that he would not run. Incumbent Mateus Simões (PSD) and challengers including Alexandre Kalil (PDT) trail significantly, reflecting limited consolidation behind alternatives. Traders appear to weigh Azevedo’s consistent polling advantage and conservative base against ongoing coalition negotiations and the state’s history of competitive races, resulting in the pronounced gap in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions