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選舉·巴西

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

icon for Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
選舉·巴西

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Cleitinho Azevedo 64.3%

Alexandre Kalil 9.4%

Mateus Simões 8.0%

弗拉維奧·羅斯科 5.1%

Polymarket

$352,938 交易量

Cleitinho Azevedo 64.3%

Alexandre Kalil 9.4%

Mateus Simões 8.0%

弗拉維奧·羅斯科 5.1%

Polymarket

$352,938 交易量

icon for Cleitinho Azevedo

Cleitinho Azevedo

$151,561 交易量

64%

icon for Alexandre Kalil

Alexandre Kalil

$36,771 交易量

9%

icon for Mateus Simões

Mateus Simões

$31,712 交易量

8%

icon for 弗拉維奧·羅斯科

弗拉維奧·羅斯科

$9,651 交易量

5%

icon for 帕特魯斯·安納尼亞斯

帕特魯斯·安納尼亞斯

$8,869 交易量

5%

icon for Rodrigo Pacheco

Rodrigo Pacheco

$19,590 交易量

1%

icon for 本奧尼·門德斯

本奧尼·門德斯

$6,953 交易量

1%

icon for Gabriel Azevedo

Gabriel Azevedo

$7,957 交易量

1%

icon for Euclydes Pettersen

Euclydes Pettersen

$4,929 交易量

1%

icon for 路易斯·愛德華多·法爾考

路易斯·愛德華多·法爾考

$7,252 交易量

1%

icon for 馬塞洛·阿羅

馬塞洛·阿羅

$33,398 交易量

<1%

icon for Gleidson Azevedo

Gleidson Azevedo

$4,715 交易量

<1%

icon for Nikolas Ferreira

Nikolas Ferreira

$8,379 交易量

<1%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$4,934 交易量

<1%

icon for 維托里奧·梅迪奧利

維托里奧·梅迪奧利

$5,043 交易量

<1%

icon for Tadeu Leite

Tadeu Leite

$5,958 交易量

<1%

icon for Alexandre Silveira

Alexandre Silveira

$5,265 交易量

<1%

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) holds a clear lead in Minas Gerais gubernatorial polling for the October 2026 election, with surveys showing him ahead in first-round and runoff scenarios amid a fragmented field. His position strengthened after repeated public confirmations of his candidacy in early August, following party indecision and a brief announcement that he would not run. Incumbent Mateus Simões (PSD) and challengers including Alexandre Kalil (PDT) trail significantly, reflecting limited consolidation behind alternatives. Traders appear to weigh Azevedo’s consistent polling advantage and conservative base against ongoing coalition negotiations and the state’s history of competitive races, resulting in the pronounced gap in implied probabilities.

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$352,938
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) holds a clear lead in Minas Gerais gubernatorial polling for the October 2026 election, with surveys showing him ahead in first-round and runoff scenarios amid a fragmented field. His position strengthened after repeated public confirmations of his candidacy in early August, following party indecision and a brief announcement that he would not run. Incumbent Mateus Simões (PSD) and challengers including Alexandre Kalil (PDT) trail significantly, reflecting limited consolidation behind alternatives. Traders appear to weigh Azevedo’s consistent polling advantage and conservative base against ongoing coalition negotiations and the state’s history of competitive races, resulting in the pronounced gap in implied probabilities.

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$352,938
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cleitinho Azevedo" at 64%, followed by "Alexandre Kalil" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" has generated $352.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" is "Cleitinho Azevedo" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandre Kalil" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.