Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, maintains a clear lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote. Surveys from late August through early September show him at 35–43% of first-round intentions, ahead of Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB), with strong advantages in simulated runoffs. His positioning draws from incumbency resources, continuity messaging on infrastructure and health regionalization, and established political networks in Paraíba. Other registered candidates trail significantly, with minimal shifts in the final campaign weeks. Trader consensus at 81% for Ribeiro aligns with this sustained polling gap and the short timeline to voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lucas Ribeiro 81%
埃弗拉因·菲略 12%
西塞羅·盧塞納 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$63,036 交易量
$63,036 交易量
2027-06-30
Lucas Ribeiro
81%
埃弗拉因·菲略
12%
西塞羅·盧塞納
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
弗拉維奧·盧西奧
<1%
羅梅羅·羅德里格斯
<1%
馬塞洛·奎羅加
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 81%
埃弗拉因·菲略 12%
西塞羅·盧塞納 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$63,036 交易量
$63,036 交易量
2027-06-30
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,854 交易量
81%
埃弗拉因·菲略
$14,423 交易量
12%
西塞羅·盧塞納
$20,573 交易量
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
$919 交易量
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,461 交易量
1%
弗拉維奧·盧西奧
$902 交易量
<1%
羅梅羅·羅德里格斯
$1,520 交易量
<1%
馬塞洛·奎羅加
$3,384 交易量
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, maintains a clear lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote. Surveys from late August through early September show him at 35–43% of first-round intentions, ahead of Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB), with strong advantages in simulated runoffs. His positioning draws from incumbency resources, continuity messaging on infrastructure and health regionalization, and established political networks in Paraíba. Other registered candidates trail significantly, with minimal shifts in the final campaign weeks. Trader consensus at 81% for Ribeiro aligns with this sustained polling gap and the short timeline to voting.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
交易量
$63,036結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETThe Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, maintains a clear lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote. Surveys from late August through early September show him at 35–43% of first-round intentions, ahead of Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB), with strong advantages in simulated runoffs. His positioning draws from incumbency resources, continuity messaging on infrastructure and health regionalization, and established political networks in Paraíba. Other registered candidates trail significantly, with minimal shifts in the final campaign weeks. Trader consensus at 81% for Ribeiro aligns with this sustained polling gap and the short timeline to voting.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$63,036結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETLucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, maintains a clear lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote. Surveys from late August through early September show him at 35–43% of first-round intentions, ahead of Efraim Filho (PL) and Cícero Lucena (MDB), with strong advantages in simulated runoffs. His positioning draws from incumbency resources, continuity messaging on infrastructure and health regionalization, and established political networks in Paraíba. Other registered candidates trail significantly, with minimal shifts in the final campaign weeks. Trader consensus at 81% for Ribeiro aligns with this sustained polling gap and the short timeline to voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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