Skip to main content
icon for 帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家
選舉·巴西

帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家

icon for 帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家
選舉·巴西

帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家

西塞羅·盧塞納 40%

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 19.6%

埃弗拉因·菲略 7%

Nilvan Ferreira 4.3%

Polymarket
最新

西塞羅·盧塞納 40%

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 19.6%

埃弗拉因·菲略 7%

Nilvan Ferreira 4.3%

Polymarket
最新

西塞羅·盧塞納

$2,374 交易量

40%

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo

$157 交易量

20%

埃弗拉因·菲略

$81 交易量

7%

Nilvan Ferreira

$81 交易量

4%

馬塞洛·奎羅加

$101 交易量

4%

羅梅羅·羅德里格斯

$210 交易量

3%

弗拉維奧·盧西奧

$168 交易量

2%

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote, with trader pricing reflecting a fragmented field and limited separation among early frontrunners. Cícero Lucena holds the highest implied probability, supported by his profile as João Pessoa mayor and prior state executive experience, while Veneziano Vital do Rêgo and Efraim Filho trail amid their Senate roles and party positioning. Recent polling shows technical ties or narrow gaps between leading names, driven by high undecided shares, shifting alliances within MDB and PP blocs, and the transition after the prior governor’s Senate bid. With over four months until the first round, factors such as coalition negotiations, candidate withdrawals, and statewide polling trends could widen or compress probabilities before ballots close.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,172
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote, with trader pricing reflecting a fragmented field and limited separation among early frontrunners. Cícero Lucena holds the highest implied probability, supported by his profile as João Pessoa mayor and prior state executive experience, while Veneziano Vital do Rêgo and Efraim Filho trail amid their Senate roles and party positioning. Recent polling shows technical ties or narrow gaps between leading names, driven by high undecided shares, shifting alliances within MDB and PP blocs, and the transition after the prior governor’s Senate bid. With over four months until the first round, factors such as coalition negotiations, candidate withdrawals, and statewide polling trends could widen or compress probabilities before ballots close.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,172
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西塞羅·盧塞納" at 40%, followed by "Veneziano Vital do Rêgo" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家" is "西塞羅·盧塞納" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Veneziano Vital do Rêgo" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.