Recent polling from August 2026 shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in voting intentions at around 30 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, with the Conservative Party of Quebec and Québec solidaire trailing further back. The next general election is fixed for October 5, 2026, under Quebec’s fixed-date rules. Trader pricing for the Parti Québécois reflects its sustained position atop seat projections from models such as 338Canada, which incorporate regional voting patterns and the first-past-the-post system’s tendency to reward concentrated support. The CAQ’s standing has declined sharply since its 2022 majority following leadership changes and shifts in voter preferences, while the PLQ remains competitive but behind on current aggregates. These dynamics underpin the market’s implied probabilities as the campaign period approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於魁北克黨 68%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ） 18%
魁北克自由黨 14%
魁北克保守黨 <1%
$759,485 交易量
$759,485 交易量
2026-10-05
魁北克黨
68%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ）
18%
魁北克自由黨
14%
魁北克保守黨
<1%
魁團
<1%
魁北克綠黨
<1%
魁北克黨 68%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ） 18%
魁北克自由黨 14%
魁北克保守黨 <1%
$759,485 交易量
$759,485 交易量
2026-10-05
魁北克黨
$82,336 交易量
68%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ）
$108,667 交易量
18%
魁北克自由黨
$101,732 交易量
14%
魁北克保守黨
$207,637 交易量
<1%
魁團
$101,615 交易量
<1%
魁北克綠黨
$157,498 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling from August 2026 shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in voting intentions at around 30 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, with the Conservative Party of Quebec and Québec solidaire trailing further back. The next general election is fixed for October 5, 2026, under Quebec’s fixed-date rules. Trader pricing for the Parti Québécois reflects its sustained position atop seat projections from models such as 338Canada, which incorporate regional voting patterns and the first-past-the-post system’s tendency to reward concentrated support. The CAQ’s standing has declined sharply since its 2022 majority following leadership changes and shifts in voter preferences, while the PLQ remains competitive but behind on current aggregates. These dynamics underpin the market’s implied probabilities as the campaign period approaches.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$759,485結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling from August 2026 shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in voting intentions at around 30 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, with the Conservative Party of Quebec and Québec solidaire trailing further back. The next general election is fixed for October 5, 2026, under Quebec’s fixed-date rules. Trader pricing for the Parti Québécois reflects its sustained position atop seat projections from models such as 338Canada, which incorporate regional voting patterns and the first-past-the-post system’s tendency to reward concentrated support. The CAQ’s standing has declined sharply since its 2022 majority following leadership changes and shifts in voter preferences, while the PLQ remains competitive but behind on current aggregates. These dynamics underpin the market’s implied probabilities as the campaign period approaches.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$759,485結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from August 2026 shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in voting intentions at around 30 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, with the Conservative Party of Quebec and Québec solidaire trailing further back. The next general election is fixed for October 5, 2026, under Quebec’s fixed-date rules. Trader pricing for the Parti Québécois reflects its sustained position atop seat projections from models such as 338Canada, which incorporate regional voting patterns and the first-past-the-post system’s tendency to reward concentrated support. The CAQ’s standing has declined sharply since its 2022 majority following leadership changes and shifts in voter preferences, while the PLQ remains competitive but behind on current aggregates. These dynamics underpin the market’s implied probabilities as the campaign period approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions