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Elections·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Kareem Allam 51%

Ken Sim 29%

Pete Fry 10.6%

William Azaroff 4.8%

Polymarket

$97,486 交易量

Kareem Allam 51%

Ken Sim 29%

Pete Fry 10.6%

William Azaroff 4.8%

Polymarket

$97,486 交易量

icon for Kareem Allam

Kareem Allam

$37,906 交易量

51%

icon for Ken Sim

Ken Sim

$17,418 交易量

29%

icon for Pete Fry

Pete Fry

$14,914 交易量

11%

icon for William Azaroff

William Azaroff

$5,164 交易量

5%

icon for John Coupar

John Coupar

$3,249 交易量

1%

icon for Colleen Hardwick

Colleen Hardwick

$2,672 交易量

1%

icon for Amanda Burrows

Amanda Burrows

$1,806 交易量

1%

icon for Kirk LaPointe

Kirk LaPointe

$2,576 交易量

1%

icon for Rebecca Bligh

Rebecca Bligh

$2,808 交易量

1%

icon for Sean Orr

Sean Orr

$2,098 交易量

<1%

icon for Tim Louis

Tim Louis

$5,057 交易量

<1%

icon for Fred Harding

Fred Harding

$1,819 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Kareem Allam holds the lead in trader consensus for Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral election due to his background as Ken Sim's former chief of staff and 2022 ABC Vancouver campaign manager, combined with his launch of the new Vancouver Liberals party positioning him as a centrist alternative. Incumbent Sim trails amid a fragmented field that includes Green councillor Pete Fry, OneCity's William Azaroff, Vote Vancouver's Rebecca Bligh, and others, which traders expect to split progressive and moderate votes. Recent developments include Allam's formal campaign launch in late 2025, Sim's re-election announcement emphasizing public safety and affordability gains, and the entry of additional candidates in spring 2026, all of which have reinforced Allam's edge in skin-in-the-game pricing without major shifts in the past month.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
交易量
$97,486
結束日期
2026-10-17
市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Kareem Allam holds the lead in trader consensus for Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral election due to his background as Ken Sim's former chief of staff and 2022 ABC Vancouver campaign manager, combined with his launch of the new Vancouver Liberals party positioning him as a centrist alternative. Incumbent Sim trails amid a fragmented field that includes Green councillor Pete Fry, OneCity's William Azaroff, Vote Vancouver's Rebecca Bligh, and others, which traders expect to split progressive and moderate votes. Recent developments include Allam's formal campaign launch in late 2025, Sim's re-election announcement emphasizing public safety and affordability gains, and the entry of additional candidates in spring 2026, all of which have reinforced Allam's edge in skin-in-the-game pricing without major shifts in the past month.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
交易量
$97,486
結束日期
2026-10-17
市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kareem Allam" at 51%, followed by "Ken Sim" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $97.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" is "Kareem Allam" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ken Sim" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.