Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Democratic, entering the November 3, 2026, jungle primary with minimal opposition from other Democrats, a Republican, a Libertarian, and an independent. The district's partisan composition and Carter's established support base create strong expectations that he will exceed 50% of the vote, triggering an outright win under Louisiana rules and avoiding the December 12 runoff. Recent Supreme Court action in Louisiana v. Callais invalidated prior maps and shifted to open primaries for House races, yet preserved the district's core makeup favoring the incumbent. Weak challenger fields and the absence of competitive Republican contenders reinforce trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for a first-round majority.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
95% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
95% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Democratic, entering the November 3, 2026, jungle primary with minimal opposition from other Democrats, a Republican, a Libertarian, and an independent. The district's partisan composition and Carter's established support base create strong expectations that he will exceed 50% of the vote, triggering an outright win under Louisiana rules and avoiding the December 12 runoff. Recent Supreme Court action in Louisiana v. Callais invalidated prior maps and shifted to open primaries for House races, yet preserved the district's core makeup favoring the incumbent. Weak challenger fields and the absence of competitive Republican contenders reinforce trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for a first-round majority.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
交易量
$348結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Democratic, entering the November 3, 2026, jungle primary with minimal opposition from other Democrats, a Republican, a Libertarian, and an independent. The district's partisan composition and Carter's established support base create strong expectations that he will exceed 50% of the vote, triggering an outright win under Louisiana rules and avoiding the December 12 runoff. Recent Supreme Court action in Louisiana v. Callais invalidated prior maps and shifted to open primaries for House races, yet preserved the district's core makeup favoring the incumbent. Weak challenger fields and the absence of competitive Republican contenders reinforce trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for a first-round majority.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.
交易量
$348結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Democratic, entering the November 3, 2026, jungle primary with minimal opposition from other Democrats, a Republican, a Libertarian, and an independent. The district's partisan composition and Carter's established support base create strong expectations that he will exceed 50% of the vote, triggering an outright win under Louisiana rules and avoiding the December 12 runoff. Recent Supreme Court action in Louisiana v. Callais invalidated prior maps and shifted to open primaries for House races, yet preserved the district's core makeup favoring the incumbent. Weak challenger fields and the absence of competitive Republican contenders reinforce trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for a first-round majority.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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