Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Royal Oak, Pontiac, Troy, and Farmington Hills, has maintained a consistent Democratic lean in recent election cycles. Incumbent Representative Haley Stevens opted not to seek another House term after pursuing the 2026 U.S. Senate nomination, creating an open seat. Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, positioning a state senator with established local support against Republican Ethan Baker in the November general election. The district's voter composition and historical margins have produced limited Republican viability, aligning with trader assessments that assign the Democratic nominee a commanding advantage. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require significant shifts in turnout patterns or unexpected national political realignments before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$71,074 交易量
$71,074 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
3%
$71,074 交易量
$71,074 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$49,052 交易量
94%
共和黨
$22,022 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Royal Oak, Pontiac, Troy, and Farmington Hills, has maintained a consistent Democratic lean in recent election cycles. Incumbent Representative Haley Stevens opted not to seek another House term after pursuing the 2026 U.S. Senate nomination, creating an open seat. Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, positioning a state senator with established local support against Republican Ethan Baker in the November general election. The district's voter composition and historical margins have produced limited Republican viability, aligning with trader assessments that assign the Democratic nominee a commanding advantage. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require significant shifts in turnout patterns or unexpected national political realignments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$71,074結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Royal Oak, Pontiac, Troy, and Farmington Hills, has maintained a consistent Democratic lean in recent election cycles. Incumbent Representative Haley Stevens opted not to seek another House term after pursuing the 2026 U.S. Senate nomination, creating an open seat. Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, positioning a state senator with established local support against Republican Ethan Baker in the November general election. The district's voter composition and historical margins have produced limited Republican viability, aligning with trader assessments that assign the Democratic nominee a commanding advantage. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require significant shifts in turnout patterns or unexpected national political realignments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$71,074結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Royal Oak, Pontiac, Troy, and Farmington Hills, has maintained a consistent Democratic lean in recent election cycles. Incumbent Representative Haley Stevens opted not to seek another House term after pursuing the 2026 U.S. Senate nomination, creating an open seat. Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, positioning a state senator with established local support against Republican Ethan Baker in the November general election. The district's voter composition and historical margins have produced limited Republican viability, aligning with trader assessments that assign the Democratic nominee a commanding advantage. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require significant shifts in turnout patterns or unexpected national political realignments before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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