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Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

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Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 98.8%

Belete Molla <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Alesa Mengesha <1%

Polymarket

$12,023 交易量

Abiy Ahmed 98.8%

Belete Molla <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Alesa Mengesha <1%

Polymarket

$12,023 交易量

icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$3,702 交易量

99%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$1,112 交易量

<1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$1,488 交易量

<1%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$1,049 交易量

<1%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$1,209 交易量

<1%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$1,218 交易量

<1%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$1,047 交易量

<1%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$1,199 交易量

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed maintains a commanding position in the market for Ethiopia’s next prime minister, reflecting his status as incumbent and leader of the Prosperity Party ahead of the scheduled June 2026 general elections. Recent months have featured continued economic reforms, infrastructure projects, and reported GDP growth near 9 percent, alongside active regional diplomacy that traders appear to view as reinforcing political stability. The Prosperity Party’s parliamentary majority and control over the electoral process further anchor expectations that Abiy will continue in office following the vote. Still, outcomes could shift if security challenges in regions such as Amhara and Oromia intensify, if coalition dynamics within the ruling party change after results are certified, or if unforeseen leadership transitions occur before the next parliamentary term.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,023
結束日期
2026-06-01
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed maintains a commanding position in the market for Ethiopia’s next prime minister, reflecting his status as incumbent and leader of the Prosperity Party ahead of the scheduled June 2026 general elections. Recent months have featured continued economic reforms, infrastructure projects, and reported GDP growth near 9 percent, alongside active regional diplomacy that traders appear to view as reinforcing political stability. The Prosperity Party’s parliamentary majority and control over the electoral process further anchor expectations that Abiy will continue in office following the vote. Still, outcomes could shift if security challenges in regions such as Amhara and Oromia intensify, if coalition dynamics within the ruling party change after results are certified, or if unforeseen leadership transitions occur before the next parliamentary term.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,023
結束日期
2026-06-01
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abiy Ahmed" at 99%, followed by "Belete Molla" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" has generated $12K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" is "Abiy Ahmed" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Belete Molla" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.