Abiy Ahmed’s Prosperity Party secured a commanding parliamentary majority in Ethiopia’s June 2026 general election, winning 438 of the contested seats in the House of Peoples’ Representatives and clearing the path for his reappointment when the new legislature convenes. This outcome reflects the ruling party’s organizational strength and the opposition’s fragmentation, even as voting was suspended or impossible in parts of Amhara and Tigray amid security concerns. Traders assign Abiy a 96.8% probability of remaining the next prime minister, consistent with the parliamentary system in which the House selects the premier. Potential shifts could arise from renewed regional insurgencies, sustained economic pressures, or leadership changes within the party before the next scheduled vote in 2031.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿比·艾哈邁德 96.8%
席梅利斯·阿卜迪薩 1.5%
吉迪恩·提莫西沃斯 <1%
貝萊特·莫拉 <1%
$286,013,117 交易量
$286,013,117 交易量
2026-05-31
阿比·艾哈邁德
97%
席梅利斯·阿卜迪薩
2%
吉迪恩·提莫西沃斯
1%
貝萊特·莫拉
1%
Alesa Mengesha
1%
貝爾哈努·內加
<1%
阿達內奇·阿比耶比
<1%
德梅克·梅孔嫩
<1%
阿比·艾哈邁德 96.8%
席梅利斯·阿卜迪薩 1.5%
吉迪恩·提莫西沃斯 <1%
貝萊特·莫拉 <1%
$286,013,117 交易量
$286,013,117 交易量
2026-05-31
阿比·艾哈邁德
$145,849 交易量
97%
席梅利斯·阿卜迪薩
$41,579,340 交易量
2%
吉迪恩·提莫西沃斯
$55,934,677 交易量
1%
貝萊特·莫拉
$32,288,756 交易量
1%
Alesa Mengesha
$13,578,365 交易量
1%
貝爾哈努·內加
$29,703,937 交易量
<1%
阿達內奇·阿比耶比
$83,454,985 交易量
<1%
德梅克·梅孔嫩
$29,327,208 交易量
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed’s Prosperity Party secured a commanding parliamentary majority in Ethiopia’s June 2026 general election, winning 438 of the contested seats in the House of Peoples’ Representatives and clearing the path for his reappointment when the new legislature convenes. This outcome reflects the ruling party’s organizational strength and the opposition’s fragmentation, even as voting was suspended or impossible in parts of Amhara and Tigray amid security concerns. Traders assign Abiy a 96.8% probability of remaining the next prime minister, consistent with the parliamentary system in which the House selects the premier. Potential shifts could arise from renewed regional insurgencies, sustained economic pressures, or leadership changes within the party before the next scheduled vote in 2031.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$286,013,117結束日期
2026-06-01市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETGeneral elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed’s Prosperity Party secured a commanding parliamentary majority in Ethiopia’s June 2026 general election, winning 438 of the contested seats in the House of Peoples’ Representatives and clearing the path for his reappointment when the new legislature convenes. This outcome reflects the ruling party’s organizational strength and the opposition’s fragmentation, even as voting was suspended or impossible in parts of Amhara and Tigray amid security concerns. Traders assign Abiy a 96.8% probability of remaining the next prime minister, consistent with the parliamentary system in which the House selects the premier. Potential shifts could arise from renewed regional insurgencies, sustained economic pressures, or leadership changes within the party before the next scheduled vote in 2031.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$286,013,117結束日期
2026-06-01市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETAbiy Ahmed’s Prosperity Party secured a commanding parliamentary majority in Ethiopia’s June 2026 general election, winning 438 of the contested seats in the House of Peoples’ Representatives and clearing the path for his reappointment when the new legislature convenes. This outcome reflects the ruling party’s organizational strength and the opposition’s fragmentation, even as voting was suspended or impossible in parts of Amhara and Tigray amid security concerns. Traders assign Abiy a 96.8% probability of remaining the next prime minister, consistent with the parliamentary system in which the House selects the premier. Potential shifts could arise from renewed regional insurgencies, sustained economic pressures, or leadership changes within the party before the next scheduled vote in 2031.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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