The completed preliminary vote count from Sweden’s September 13 election shows the opposition bloc securing 176 Riksdag seats against 173 for the Tidö parties, a three-seat margin decided by roughly 50,000 votes. Social Democrats remained the largest party while the Sweden Democrats recorded their first decline since entering parliament, shifting seats toward the Left and Centre parties. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson resigned following the result, clearing the way for Magdalena Andersson to lead coalition talks among the opposition parties. Trader consensus on an opposition lead of three to four seats reflects the finalized tally and limited remaining procedural steps before formal certification, though minor adjustments could still arise during official validation or if advance-vote discrepancies emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於反對黨贏得3-4席 99.0%
Tidö贏1–2席 <1%
反對黨領先5–6席 <1%
反對黨多贏7席以上 <1%
反對黨多贏7席以上
<1%
反對黨領先5–6席
<1%
反對黨贏得3-4席
99%
反對派領先1-2席
<1%
Tidö贏1–2席
1%
Tidö領先3–4席
<1%
Tidö多贏5席以上
<1%
反對黨贏得3-4席 99.0%
Tidö贏1–2席 <1%
反對黨領先5–6席 <1%
反對黨多贏7席以上 <1%
反對黨多贏7席以上
<1%
反對黨領先5–6席
<1%
反對黨贏得3-4席
99%
反對派領先1-2席
<1%
Tidö贏1–2席
1%
Tidö領先3–4席
<1%
Tidö多贏5席以上
<1%
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間: Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
The completed preliminary vote count from Sweden’s September 13 election shows the opposition bloc securing 176 Riksdag seats against 173 for the Tidö parties, a three-seat margin decided by roughly 50,000 votes. Social Democrats remained the largest party while the Sweden Democrats recorded their first decline since entering parliament, shifting seats toward the Left and Centre parties. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson resigned following the result, clearing the way for Magdalena Andersson to lead coalition talks among the opposition parties. Trader consensus on an opposition lead of three to four seats reflects the finalized tally and limited remaining procedural steps before formal certification, though minor adjustments could still arise during official validation or if advance-vote discrepancies emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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