New People (Novye Lyudi) maintains a commanding market position below 35 seats in the 2026 State Duma election due to Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts, where the party cleared the 5% threshold but posted roughly 8% in early party-list results amid United Russia's dominant share. As a systemic opposition party aligned with key Kremlin positions on foreign policy and major legislation, New People attracts modest protest and urban liberal support without mounting a broad challenge, mirroring its 13 seats from 2021. Recent developments include its merger with the Party of Growth and federal list approvals led by Alexey Nechayev, yet administrative controls, limited single-mandate viability, and competition from other systemic parties like the CPRF and LDPR constrain expansion. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though higher-than-expected turnout among undecided voters or stronger regional performances could modestly increase its total if final protocols shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於少於35 98.4%
85+ 2.1%
35–44 <1%
65–74 <1%
$136,560 交易量
$136,560 交易量
2026-09-20
少於35
98%
35–44
1%
45–54
1%
55–64
<1%
65–74
1%
75–84
<1%
85+
2%
少於35 98.4%
85+ 2.1%
35–44 <1%
65–74 <1%
$136,560 交易量
$136,560 交易量
2026-09-20
少於35
$33,849 交易量
98%
35–44
$29,462 交易量
1%
45–54
$22,908 交易量
1%
55–64
$14,040 交易量
<1%
65–74
$13,552 交易量
1%
75–84
$9,273 交易量
<1%
85+
$13,475 交易量
2%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People (Novye Lyudi) maintains a commanding market position below 35 seats in the 2026 State Duma election due to Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts, where the party cleared the 5% threshold but posted roughly 8% in early party-list results amid United Russia's dominant share. As a systemic opposition party aligned with key Kremlin positions on foreign policy and major legislation, New People attracts modest protest and urban liberal support without mounting a broad challenge, mirroring its 13 seats from 2021. Recent developments include its merger with the Party of Growth and federal list approvals led by Alexey Nechayev, yet administrative controls, limited single-mandate viability, and competition from other systemic parties like the CPRF and LDPR constrain expansion. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though higher-than-expected turnout among undecided voters or stronger regional performances could modestly increase its total if final protocols shift.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
交易量
$136,560結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ETLegislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People (Novye Lyudi) maintains a commanding market position below 35 seats in the 2026 State Duma election due to Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts, where the party cleared the 5% threshold but posted roughly 8% in early party-list results amid United Russia's dominant share. As a systemic opposition party aligned with key Kremlin positions on foreign policy and major legislation, New People attracts modest protest and urban liberal support without mounting a broad challenge, mirroring its 13 seats from 2021. Recent developments include its merger with the Party of Growth and federal list approvals led by Alexey Nechayev, yet administrative controls, limited single-mandate viability, and competition from other systemic parties like the CPRF and LDPR constrain expansion. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though higher-than-expected turnout among undecided voters or stronger regional performances could modestly increase its total if final protocols shift.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$136,560結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ETNew People (Novye Lyudi) maintains a commanding market position below 35 seats in the 2026 State Duma election due to Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts, where the party cleared the 5% threshold but posted roughly 8% in early party-list results amid United Russia's dominant share. As a systemic opposition party aligned with key Kremlin positions on foreign policy and major legislation, New People attracts modest protest and urban liberal support without mounting a broad challenge, mirroring its 13 seats from 2021. Recent developments include its merger with the Party of Growth and federal list approvals led by Alexey Nechayev, yet administrative controls, limited single-mandate viability, and competition from other systemic parties like the CPRF and LDPR constrain expansion. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though higher-than-expected turnout among undecided voters or stronger regional performances could modestly increase its total if final protocols shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions