Preliminary vote counts from Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections show the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) holding a clear third-place position in the party-list results, behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF). With over 95 percent of precincts processed, LDPR has maintained roughly 8.8-9 percent support, ahead of New People and A Just Russia – For Truth, both near or below the 5 percent threshold. This positioning aligns with historical patterns for systemic opposition parties in controlled electoral environments, where turnout reached about 56-57 percent and United Russia secured a commanding share. Final Central Election Commission certification, expected by late September, or any adjustments from electronic voting and single-mandate districts could theoretically alter rankings, though current margins make significant shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 98.4%
New People (NL) 1.8%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) <1%
$251,213 交易量
$251,213 交易量

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
98%

New People (NL)
2%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
<1%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

雅布洛科
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 98.4%
New People (NL) 1.8%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) <1%
$251,213 交易量
$251,213 交易量

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
98%

New People (NL)
2%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
<1%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

雅布洛科
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Preliminary vote counts from Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections show the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) holding a clear third-place position in the party-list results, behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF). With over 95 percent of precincts processed, LDPR has maintained roughly 8.8-9 percent support, ahead of New People and A Just Russia – For Truth, both near or below the 5 percent threshold. This positioning aligns with historical patterns for systemic opposition parties in controlled electoral environments, where turnout reached about 56-57 percent and United Russia secured a commanding share. Final Central Election Commission certification, expected by late September, or any adjustments from electronic voting and single-mandate districts could theoretically alter rankings, though current margins make significant shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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