The Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its established regional structures, historical voter base among older and rural constituencies, and consistent positioning as the primary systemic opposition party. Recent polls from government-affiliated firms place KPRF support in the 10–16% range, ahead of or competitive with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) and New People, while Yabloko’s disqualification has narrowed protest vote options. Traders assign low odds to challengers because New People and LDPR lack comparable organizational depth despite targeted appeals to younger or nationalist voters. Late shifts remain possible if turnout patterns or single-mandate results favor one of the trailing parties, though the KPRF’s entrenched position makes such outcomes appear limited in current assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 93%
New People (NL) 4.4%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 3.9%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$644,779 交易量
$644,779 交易量
2026-09-19
United Russia (ER)
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
93%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
4%
New People (NL)
4%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
雅布洛科
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 93%
New People (NL) 4.4%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 3.9%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$644,779 交易量
$644,779 交易量
2026-09-19
United Russia (ER)
$83,707 交易量
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$202,543 交易量
93%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$22,701 交易量
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$132,374 交易量
4%
New People (NL)
$97,010 交易量
4%
Rodina
$19,680 交易量
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$11,575 交易量
<1%
雅布洛科
$75,189 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its established regional structures, historical voter base among older and rural constituencies, and consistent positioning as the primary systemic opposition party. Recent polls from government-affiliated firms place KPRF support in the 10–16% range, ahead of or competitive with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) and New People, while Yabloko’s disqualification has narrowed protest vote options. Traders assign low odds to challengers because New People and LDPR lack comparable organizational depth despite targeted appeals to younger or nationalist voters. Late shifts remain possible if turnout patterns or single-mandate results favor one of the trailing parties, though the KPRF’s entrenched position makes such outcomes appear limited in current assessments.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間： Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
交易量
$644,779結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its established regional structures, historical voter base among older and rural constituencies, and consistent positioning as the primary systemic opposition party. Recent polls from government-affiliated firms place KPRF support in the 10–16% range, ahead of or competitive with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) and New People, while Yabloko’s disqualification has narrowed protest vote options. Traders assign low odds to challengers because New People and LDPR lack comparable organizational depth despite targeted appeals to younger or nationalist voters. Late shifts remain possible if turnout patterns or single-mandate results favor one of the trailing parties, though the KPRF’s entrenched position makes such outcomes appear limited in current assessments.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$644,779結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETThe Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its established regional structures, historical voter base among older and rural constituencies, and consistent positioning as the primary systemic opposition party. Recent polls from government-affiliated firms place KPRF support in the 10–16% range, ahead of or competitive with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) and New People, while Yabloko’s disqualification has narrowed protest vote options. Traders assign low odds to challengers because New People and LDPR lack comparable organizational depth despite targeted appeals to younger or nationalist voters. Late shifts remain possible if turnout patterns or single-mandate results favor one of the trailing parties, though the KPRF’s entrenched position makes such outcomes appear limited in current assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions