The Russian State Duma elections, held September 18–20, 2026, feature United Russia as the clear frontrunner for first place, leaving the contest for second among the remaining systemic opposition parties. Official polling from FOM and VTsIOM consistently places the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) ahead of New People and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the party-list vote, reflecting the KPRF’s longstanding regional organizations, historical protest vote share, and established role as the primary parliamentary opposition. New People has gained ground in some surveys as a newer vehicle for younger or dissatisfied voters, while LDPR maintains nationalist support, yet neither has displaced the KPRF in most forecasts. The exclusion of Yabloko from the ballot has removed one potential competitor for protest votes. These dynamics underpin the market’s strong consensus around KPRF finishing second behind United Russia.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 90%
New People (NL) 8.0%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 1.7%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$754,326 交易量
$754,326 交易量
2026-09-19
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
90%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
2%
New People (NL)
8%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
雅布洛科
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 90%
New People (NL) 8.0%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 1.7%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$754,326 交易量
$754,326 交易量
2026-09-19
United Russia (ER)
$85,685 交易量
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$273,415 交易量
90%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$25,201 交易量
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$151,167 交易量
2%
New People (NL)
$112,415 交易量
8%
Rodina
$19,680 交易量
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$11,575 交易量
<1%
雅布洛科
$75,189 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The Russian State Duma elections, held September 18–20, 2026, feature United Russia as the clear frontrunner for first place, leaving the contest for second among the remaining systemic opposition parties. Official polling from FOM and VTsIOM consistently places the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) ahead of New People and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the party-list vote, reflecting the KPRF’s longstanding regional organizations, historical protest vote share, and established role as the primary parliamentary opposition. New People has gained ground in some surveys as a newer vehicle for younger or dissatisfied voters, while LDPR maintains nationalist support, yet neither has displaced the KPRF in most forecasts. The exclusion of Yabloko from the ballot has removed one potential competitor for protest votes. These dynamics underpin the market’s strong consensus around KPRF finishing second behind United Russia.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間： Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
交易量
$754,326結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The Russian State Duma elections, held September 18–20, 2026, feature United Russia as the clear frontrunner for first place, leaving the contest for second among the remaining systemic opposition parties. Official polling from FOM and VTsIOM consistently places the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) ahead of New People and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the party-list vote, reflecting the KPRF’s longstanding regional organizations, historical protest vote share, and established role as the primary parliamentary opposition. New People has gained ground in some surveys as a newer vehicle for younger or dissatisfied voters, while LDPR maintains nationalist support, yet neither has displaced the KPRF in most forecasts. The exclusion of Yabloko from the ballot has removed one potential competitor for protest votes. These dynamics underpin the market’s strong consensus around KPRF finishing second behind United Russia.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$754,326結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETThe Russian State Duma elections, held September 18–20, 2026, feature United Russia as the clear frontrunner for first place, leaving the contest for second among the remaining systemic opposition parties. Official polling from FOM and VTsIOM consistently places the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) ahead of New People and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the party-list vote, reflecting the KPRF’s longstanding regional organizations, historical protest vote share, and established role as the primary parliamentary opposition. New People has gained ground in some surveys as a newer vehicle for younger or dissatisfied voters, while LDPR maintains nationalist support, yet neither has displaced the KPRF in most forecasts. The exclusion of Yabloko from the ballot has removed one potential competitor for protest votes. These dynamics underpin the market’s strong consensus around KPRF finishing second behind United Russia.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions