KPRF leads trader consensus for second place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its long-standing role as the main systemic opposition party with extensive regional structures and consistent historical vote shares above 15 percent. Mixed recent polling creates uncertainty, as VCIOM surveys place New People ahead at around 13 percent through appeal to younger voters frustrated by online restrictions, while FOM results favor LDPR or KPRF in the 8-15 percent range. New People's limited grassroots network and recent party merger limit its projected gains in the mixed proportional and single-mandate system. LDPR trails amid ongoing leadership transitions since 2022. Official campaign activities beginning in June could further clarify dynamics among these parliamentary parties ahead of the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 25%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 14%
United Russia (ER) 2.8%
$16,291 交易量
$16,291 交易量

United Russia (ER)
3%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
61%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
14%

New People (NL)
25%

Rodina
1%

Civic Platform (GP)
2%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 25%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 14%
United Russia (ER) 2.8%
$16,291 交易量
$16,291 交易量

United Russia (ER)
3%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
61%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
14%

New People (NL)
25%

Rodina
1%

Civic Platform (GP)
2%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...KPRF leads trader consensus for second place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its long-standing role as the main systemic opposition party with extensive regional structures and consistent historical vote shares above 15 percent. Mixed recent polling creates uncertainty, as VCIOM surveys place New People ahead at around 13 percent through appeal to younger voters frustrated by online restrictions, while FOM results favor LDPR or KPRF in the 8-15 percent range. New People's limited grassroots network and recent party merger limit its projected gains in the mixed proportional and single-mandate system. LDPR trails amid ongoing leadership transitions since 2022. Official campaign activities beginning in June could further clarify dynamics among these parliamentary parties ahead of the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions