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阿爾及利亞議會選舉:政黨贏家

icon for 阿爾及利亞議會選舉:政黨贏家

阿爾及利亞議會選舉:政黨贏家

民族解放陣線(FLN) 87%

和平社會運動(MSP) 6%

民主民族集會(RND) 4.9%

未來陣線(FM) 4%

Polymarket
最新

民族解放陣線(FLN) 87%

和平社會運動(MSP) 6%

民主民族集會(RND) 4.9%

未來陣線(FM) 4%

Polymarket
最新

民族解放陣線(FLN)

$6,594 交易量

87%

和平社會運動(MSP)

$229 交易量

6%

民主民族集會(RND)

$172 交易量

5%

未來陣線(FM)

$217 交易量

4%

國家建設運動(BINAA)

$174 交易量

2%

人民之聲黨(PVP)

$232 交易量

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Algeria's July 2, 2026, parliamentary election for the 407-seat National People's Assembly features a fragmented field under proportional representation, with established parties such as the FLN, MSP, RND, Future Front, El Binaa, and PVP holding roughly comparable positions in trader assessments. Persistent low turnout expectations, rooted in the 2021 precedent of widespread abstention and limited opposition participation, continue to constrain any single party's momentum. The system's emphasis on closed lists across multi-member districts, combined with substantial independent candidacies, dilutes bloc consolidation. Recent preparations—including diaspora voting windows and routine campaign activity—have produced no decisive shifts in positioning. Separation among contenders would likely require clearer signals on turnout differentials or late alliances that alter seat allocation thresholds in the final days.

Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$7,619
結束日期
2026-07-02
市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Algeria's July 2, 2026, parliamentary election for the 407-seat National People's Assembly features a fragmented field under proportional representation, with established parties such as the FLN, MSP, RND, Future Front, El Binaa, and PVP holding roughly comparable positions in trader assessments. Persistent low turnout expectations, rooted in the 2021 precedent of widespread abstention and limited opposition participation, continue to constrain any single party's momentum. The system's emphasis on closed lists across multi-member districts, combined with substantial independent candidacies, dilutes bloc consolidation. Recent preparations—including diaspora voting windows and routine campaign activity—have produced no decisive shifts in positioning. Separation among contenders would likely require clearer signals on turnout differentials or late alliances that alter seat allocation thresholds in the final days.

Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$7,619
結束日期
2026-07-02
市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿爾及利亞議會選舉:政黨贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "民族解放陣線(FLN)" at 87%, followed by "和平社會運動(MSP)" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"阿爾及利亞議會選舉:政黨贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "阿爾及利亞議會選舉:政黨贏家," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿爾及利亞議會選舉:政黨贏家" is "民族解放陣線(FLN)" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "和平社會運動(MSP)" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿爾及利亞議會選舉:政黨贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.