Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election place Likud averaging roughly 22 seats, aligning with the market's leading 20-24 outcome. Volatility across surveys, ranging from 18 to 32 seats for the party, reflects shifting voter priorities between security concerns and domestic issues such as ultra-Orthodox exemptions. Netanyahu's bloc trails the 61-seat majority threshold at around 51 seats on average, while opposition coordination efforts among parties like Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beytenu remain incomplete. Recent security incidents have narrowed bloc gaps in some tracking, sustaining trader uncertainty over final turnout and surplus agreements that could push Likud into adjacent ranges.