In Louisiana's November 3 open primary for the 6th Congressional District, a crowded field of more than ten candidates—including multiple Republicans such as state Sens. Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez alongside Democrats like Chauna Banks—has fragmented support in a district rated solid Republican. An August poll showed the leader at under 19 percent, with others well behind, consistent with patterns where Louisiana's majority-vote system rarely produces an outright winner absent consolidation. Traders assign "No" a 97.1 percent implied probability because vote-splitting makes a 50 percent threshold improbable. A late withdrawal, dominant endorsement, or unusually unified turnout could still shift the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
3% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
3% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.In Louisiana's November 3 open primary for the 6th Congressional District, a crowded field of more than ten candidates—including multiple Republicans such as state Sens. Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez alongside Democrats like Chauna Banks—has fragmented support in a district rated solid Republican. An August poll showed the leader at under 19 percent, with others well behind, consistent with patterns where Louisiana's majority-vote system rarely produces an outright winner absent consolidation. Traders assign "No" a 97.1 percent implied probability because vote-splitting makes a 50 percent threshold improbable. A late withdrawal, dominant endorsement, or unusually unified turnout could still shift the outcome before election day.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
交易量
$1,447結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETThe first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.In Louisiana's November 3 open primary for the 6th Congressional District, a crowded field of more than ten candidates—including multiple Republicans such as state Sens. Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez alongside Democrats like Chauna Banks—has fragmented support in a district rated solid Republican. An August poll showed the leader at under 19 percent, with others well behind, consistent with patterns where Louisiana's majority-vote system rarely produces an outright winner absent consolidation. Traders assign "No" a 97.1 percent implied probability because vote-splitting makes a 50 percent threshold improbable. A late withdrawal, dominant endorsement, or unusually unified turnout could still shift the outcome before election day.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
交易量
$1,447結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETIn Louisiana's November 3 open primary for the 6th Congressional District, a crowded field of more than ten candidates—including multiple Republicans such as state Sens. Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez alongside Democrats like Chauna Banks—has fragmented support in a district rated solid Republican. An August poll showed the leader at under 19 percent, with others well behind, consistent with patterns where Louisiana's majority-vote system rarely produces an outright winner absent consolidation. Traders assign "No" a 97.1 percent implied probability because vote-splitting makes a 50 percent threshold improbable. A late withdrawal, dominant endorsement, or unusually unified turnout could still shift the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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