In the 2026 Ohio special Senate election to fill the remainder of J.D. Vance's term, trader consensus favors the Democratic nominee at a slight edge in a closely contested toss-up. Sherrod Brown advanced from the May 5 Democratic primary with dominant support reflecting high turnout and enthusiasm, while Republican appointee Jon Husted secured his party's nomination. April polling shows Husted holding a narrow lead of roughly 3-6 points in head-to-head matchups, yet the implied probability incorporates Brown's established name recognition, strong first-quarter fundraising totals, and appeal to independent voters in a race that could affect Senate control. Further summer polling and candidate debates remain key scheduled events that could shift dynamics before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$77,904 交易量
$77,904 交易量

民主黨
61%

共和黨
42%
$77,904 交易量
$77,904 交易量

民主黨
61%

共和黨
42%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the 2026 Ohio special Senate election to fill the remainder of J.D. Vance's term, trader consensus favors the Democratic nominee at a slight edge in a closely contested toss-up. Sherrod Brown advanced from the May 5 Democratic primary with dominant support reflecting high turnout and enthusiasm, while Republican appointee Jon Husted secured his party's nomination. April polling shows Husted holding a narrow lead of roughly 3-6 points in head-to-head matchups, yet the implied probability incorporates Brown's established name recognition, strong first-quarter fundraising totals, and appeal to independent voters in a race that could affect Senate control. Further summer polling and candidate debates remain key scheduled events that could shift dynamics before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions