Incumbent Democratic Representative Teresa Leger Fernandez holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election against Republican state Representative Martin Ruben Zamora. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests. Uncontested June primaries left both nominees in place without intra-party drama or notable shifts in positioning. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects the district’s structural advantages, incumbency, and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling indicating a viable path for the challenger. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$21,985 交易量
$21,985 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$21,985 交易量
$21,985 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
$9,879 交易量
93%
Republican Party
$12,106 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Teresa Leger Fernandez holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election against Republican state Representative Martin Ruben Zamora. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests. Uncontested June primaries left both nominees in place without intra-party drama or notable shifts in positioning. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects the district’s structural advantages, incumbency, and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling indicating a viable path for the challenger. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$21,985結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Teresa Leger Fernandez holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election against Republican state Representative Martin Ruben Zamora. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests. Uncontested June primaries left both nominees in place without intra-party drama or notable shifts in positioning. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects the district’s structural advantages, incumbency, and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling indicating a viable path for the challenger. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,985結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Democratic Representative Teresa Leger Fernandez holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election against Republican state Representative Martin Ruben Zamora. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests. Uncontested June primaries left both nominees in place without intra-party drama or notable shifts in positioning. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects the district’s structural advantages, incumbency, and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling indicating a viable path for the challenger. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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