Québec Solidaire maintains competitive positioning in multiple Montreal-area ridings, including incumbencies in Gouin, Mercier, and Taschereau, where local support and vote efficiency have historically secured seats even as provincial polling holds near 11 percent. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and The Writ consistently allocate the party between three and twelve ridings, with median outcomes around six to nine seats ahead of the October 5 vote. This distribution reflects stable regional concentrations rather than broad popularity swings, supporting trader consensus on at least one victory. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, targeted opposition spending, or unforeseen riding-specific developments could narrow margins in vulnerable districts, though current polling aggregates show limited risk of a complete wipeout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
98% 機率
最新
最新
2026-10-05
是
98% 機率
最新
最新
2026-10-05
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec Solidaire maintains competitive positioning in multiple Montreal-area ridings, including incumbencies in Gouin, Mercier, and Taschereau, where local support and vote efficiency have historically secured seats even as provincial polling holds near 11 percent. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and The Writ consistently allocate the party between three and twelve ridings, with median outcomes around six to nine seats ahead of the October 5 vote. This distribution reflects stable regional concentrations rather than broad popularity swings, supporting trader consensus on at least one victory. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, targeted opposition spending, or unforeseen riding-specific developments could narrow margins in vulnerable districts, though current polling aggregates show limited risk of a complete wipeout.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
交易量
$662結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec Solidaire maintains competitive positioning in multiple Montreal-area ridings, including incumbencies in Gouin, Mercier, and Taschereau, where local support and vote efficiency have historically secured seats even as provincial polling holds near 11 percent. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and The Writ consistently allocate the party between three and twelve ridings, with median outcomes around six to nine seats ahead of the October 5 vote. This distribution reflects stable regional concentrations rather than broad popularity swings, supporting trader consensus on at least one victory. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, targeted opposition spending, or unforeseen riding-specific developments could narrow margins in vulnerable districts, though current polling aggregates show limited risk of a complete wipeout.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$662結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETQuébec Solidaire maintains competitive positioning in multiple Montreal-area ridings, including incumbencies in Gouin, Mercier, and Taschereau, where local support and vote efficiency have historically secured seats even as provincial polling holds near 11 percent. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and The Writ consistently allocate the party between three and twelve ridings, with median outcomes around six to nine seats ahead of the October 5 vote. This distribution reflects stable regional concentrations rather than broad popularity swings, supporting trader consensus on at least one victory. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, targeted opposition spending, or unforeseen riding-specific developments could narrow margins in vulnerable districts, though current polling aggregates show limited risk of a complete wipeout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions