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icon for 統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位？
政治·世界選舉

統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位？

icon for 統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位？
政治·世界選舉

統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位？

340–354 28%

310–324 21.3%

325–339 20%

355+ 16%

Polymarket

$24,330 交易量

340–354 28%

310–324 21.3%

325–339 20%

355+ 16%

Polymarket

$24,330 交易量

少於280

$6,278 交易量

8%

280–294

$2,804 交易量

6%

295–309

$1,601 交易量

9%

310–324

$1,421 交易量

25%

325–339

$1,837 交易量

20%

340–354

$1,472 交易量

27%

355+

$8,917 交易量

16%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia securing 310–354 seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections at roughly equal odds for the top two bins, driven by April polls showing party-list support fluctuating between 27–52% across pollsters like WCIOM (27–30%), FOM (35–41%), and VTsIOM (27–34%), amid economic stagnation, high interest rates, and internet disruptions souring voter mood. The parallel voting system—225 proportional seats above a 5% threshold and 225 single-member districts—amplifies uncertainty, as United Russia's administrative resources typically deliver strong single-member wins but recent primaries emphasized turnout mobilization amid war fatigue and New People's rise to 13% in some surveys. Separation could emerge from campaign momentum, battlefield developments in Ukraine, or final candidate lists led by Dmitry Medvedev.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$24,330
結束日期
2026-09-20
市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia securing 310–354 seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections at roughly equal odds for the top two bins, driven by April polls showing party-list support fluctuating between 27–52% across pollsters like WCIOM (27–30%), FOM (35–41%), and VTsIOM (27–34%), amid economic stagnation, high interest rates, and internet disruptions souring voter mood. The parallel voting system—225 proportional seats above a 5% threshold and 225 single-member districts—amplifies uncertainty, as United Russia's administrative resources typically deliver strong single-member wins but recent primaries emphasized turnout mobilization amid war fatigue and New People's rise to 13% in some surveys. Separation could emerge from campaign momentum, battlefield developments in Ukraine, or final candidate lists led by Dmitry Medvedev.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$24,330
結束日期
2026-09-20
市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "340–354" at 27%, followed by "310–324" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位？" has generated $24.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位？" is "340–354" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "310–324" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.