United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant ruling party with extensive administrative resources and advantages in Russia's mixed proportional and single-mandate system. Current seat projections cluster tightly around 310–354 because state-aligned polls place its support near 34–50 percent, recent regional results show strong but not overwhelming performance, and preparations emphasize candidate rotation plus war veterans without guaranteeing precise national margins. Economic pressures, wartime polling volatility, and regional mobilization targets introduce uncertainty that keeps the 325–339, 340–354, and 310–324 brackets closely matched in trader assessments. Late developments such as turnout levels, shifts in regional outcomes, or adjustments to campaign benchmarks could widen separation among these ranges before voting concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於325–339 32%
340–354 22%
310–324 21.6%
355+ 14%
$178,117 交易量
$178,117 交易量
少於280
3%
280–294
3%
295–309
8%
310–324
22%
325–339
32%
340–354
22%
355+
14%
325–339 32%
340–354 22%
310–324 21.6%
355+ 14%
$178,117 交易量
$178,117 交易量
少於280
3%
280–294
3%
295–309
8%
310–324
22%
325–339
32%
340–354
22%
355+
14%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市場開放時間: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant ruling party with extensive administrative resources and advantages in Russia's mixed proportional and single-mandate system. Current seat projections cluster tightly around 310–354 because state-aligned polls place its support near 34–50 percent, recent regional results show strong but not overwhelming performance, and preparations emphasize candidate rotation plus war veterans without guaranteeing precise national margins. Economic pressures, wartime polling volatility, and regional mobilization targets introduce uncertainty that keeps the 325–339, 340–354, and 310–324 brackets closely matched in trader assessments. Late developments such as turnout levels, shifts in regional outcomes, or adjustments to campaign benchmarks could widen separation among these ranges before voting concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions