Skip to main content
icon for 統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位?

統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位?

icon for 統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位?

統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位?

325–339 32%

340–354 22%

310–324 21.6%

355+ 14%

Polymarket

$178,117 交易量

325–339 32%

340–354 22%

310–324 21.6%

355+ 14%

Polymarket

$178,117 交易量

少於280

$25,543 交易量

3%

280–294

$15,663 交易量

3%

295–309

$10,859 交易量

8%

310–324

$14,042 交易量

22%

325–339

$26,981 交易量

32%

340–354

$47,615 交易量

22%

355+

$37,414 交易量

14%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant ruling party with extensive administrative resources and advantages in Russia's mixed proportional and single-mandate system. Current seat projections cluster tightly around 310–354 because state-aligned polls place its support near 34–50 percent, recent regional results show strong but not overwhelming performance, and preparations emphasize candidate rotation plus war veterans without guaranteeing precise national margins. Economic pressures, wartime polling volatility, and regional mobilization targets introduce uncertainty that keeps the 325–339, 340–354, and 310–324 brackets closely matched in trader assessments. Late developments such as turnout levels, shifts in regional outcomes, or adjustments to campaign benchmarks could widen separation among these ranges before voting concludes.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$178,117
結束日期
2026-09-20
市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant ruling party with extensive administrative resources and advantages in Russia's mixed proportional and single-mandate system. Current seat projections cluster tightly around 310–354 because state-aligned polls place its support near 34–50 percent, recent regional results show strong but not overwhelming performance, and preparations emphasize candidate rotation plus war veterans without guaranteeing precise national margins. Economic pressures, wartime polling volatility, and regional mobilization targets introduce uncertainty that keeps the 325–339, 340–354, and 310–324 brackets closely matched in trader assessments. Late developments such as turnout levels, shifts in regional outcomes, or adjustments to campaign benchmarks could widen separation among these ranges before voting concludes.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$178,117
結束日期
2026-09-20
市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "325–339" at 32%, followed by "340–354" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位?" has generated $178.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位?" is "325–339" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "340–354" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "統一俄羅斯將在下一次俄羅斯立法選舉中贏得多少席位?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.