Recent polling averages place AfD first and SPD second in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a tight contest for third between Die Linke (around 11–12%) and CDU (around 9–10%), with BSW, Grüne, and FDP further behind. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap through balanced pricing on those two parties, driven by Linke’s modest edge in July surveys offset by CDU’s potential for late consolidation among conservative voters. SPD gains in recent weeks and the short remaining campaign window add volatility, as turnout shifts or minor-party movements could alter the ordering. Scheduled debates and state-specific economic messaging in the final stretch represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could widen or close the margin for third place.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於基民盟 33%
Linke 33%
FW 7%
BSW 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
基民盟
33%
Linke
33%
FW
7%
BSW
7%
綠黨
7%
社民黨
7%
自民黨
7%
AfD
6%
基民盟 33%
Linke 33%
FW 7%
BSW 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
基民盟
$0 交易量
33%
Linke
$0 交易量
33%
FW
$0 交易量
7%
BSW
$0 交易量
7%
綠黨
$0 交易量
7%
社民黨
$0 交易量
7%
自民黨
$0 交易量
7%
AfD
$0 交易量
6%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages place AfD first and SPD second in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a tight contest for third between Die Linke (around 11–12%) and CDU (around 9–10%), with BSW, Grüne, and FDP further behind. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap through balanced pricing on those two parties, driven by Linke’s modest edge in July surveys offset by CDU’s potential for late consolidation among conservative voters. SPD gains in recent weeks and the short remaining campaign window add volatility, as turnout shifts or minor-party movements could alter the ordering. Scheduled debates and state-specific economic messaging in the final stretch represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could widen or close the margin for third place.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages place AfD first and SPD second in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a tight contest for third between Die Linke (around 11–12%) and CDU (around 9–10%), with BSW, Grüne, and FDP further behind. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap through balanced pricing on those two parties, driven by Linke’s modest edge in July surveys offset by CDU’s potential for late consolidation among conservative voters. SPD gains in recent weeks and the short remaining campaign window add volatility, as turnout shifts or minor-party movements could alter the ordering. Scheduled debates and state-specific economic messaging in the final stretch represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could widen or close the margin for third place.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place AfD first and SPD second in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a tight contest for third between Die Linke (around 11–12%) and CDU (around 9–10%), with BSW, Grüne, and FDP further behind. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap through balanced pricing on those two parties, driven by Linke’s modest edge in July surveys offset by CDU’s potential for late consolidation among conservative voters. SPD gains in recent weeks and the short remaining campaign window add volatility, as turnout shifts or minor-party movements could alter the ordering. Scheduled debates and state-specific economic messaging in the final stretch represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could widen or close the margin for third place.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions