Recent polling across Saxony-Anhalt consistently places the AfD in a clear lead near 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, leaving the CDU at approximately 26 percent and well ahead of Die Linke near 12 percent. This gap has held steady through multiple surveys since early 2026, reflecting entrenched regional voter patterns and limited movement among smaller parties near the five-percent threshold. Traders assign the CDU a commanding implied probability for second place because no major polling shift, candidate development, or policy event has narrowed the margin enough to elevate another contender. A late surge by Die Linke or BSW, combined with unexpected AfD weakness or higher turnout among centrist voters, remains the main path that could reorder the final ranking before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於基民盟 93%
AfD 6.2%
BSW 2.0%
FDP 1.0%
$47,447 交易量
$47,447 交易量
2026-09-06
基民盟
93%
AfD
6%
BSW
2%
FDP
1%
左翼黨
1%
綠黨
1%
SPD
1%
基民盟 93%
AfD 6.2%
BSW 2.0%
FDP 1.0%
$47,447 交易量
$47,447 交易量
2026-09-06
基民盟
$19,280 交易量
93%
AfD
$1,045 交易量
6%
BSW
$880 交易量
2%
FDP
$1,861 交易量
1%
左翼黨
$1,113 交易量
1%
綠黨
$1,006 交易量
1%
SPD
$22,262 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling across Saxony-Anhalt consistently places the AfD in a clear lead near 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, leaving the CDU at approximately 26 percent and well ahead of Die Linke near 12 percent. This gap has held steady through multiple surveys since early 2026, reflecting entrenched regional voter patterns and limited movement among smaller parties near the five-percent threshold. Traders assign the CDU a commanding implied probability for second place because no major polling shift, candidate development, or policy event has narrowed the margin enough to elevate another contender. A late surge by Die Linke or BSW, combined with unexpected AfD weakness or higher turnout among centrist voters, remains the main path that could reorder the final ranking before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市場開放時間： Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
交易量
$47,447結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling across Saxony-Anhalt consistently places the AfD in a clear lead near 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, leaving the CDU at approximately 26 percent and well ahead of Die Linke near 12 percent. This gap has held steady through multiple surveys since early 2026, reflecting entrenched regional voter patterns and limited movement among smaller parties near the five-percent threshold. Traders assign the CDU a commanding implied probability for second place because no major polling shift, candidate development, or policy event has narrowed the margin enough to elevate another contender. A late surge by Die Linke or BSW, combined with unexpected AfD weakness or higher turnout among centrist voters, remains the main path that could reorder the final ranking before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$47,447結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling across Saxony-Anhalt consistently places the AfD in a clear lead near 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, leaving the CDU at approximately 26 percent and well ahead of Die Linke near 12 percent. This gap has held steady through multiple surveys since early 2026, reflecting entrenched regional voter patterns and limited movement among smaller parties near the five-percent threshold. Traders assign the CDU a commanding implied probability for second place because no major polling shift, candidate development, or policy event has narrowed the margin enough to elevate another contender. A late surge by Die Linke or BSW, combined with unexpected AfD weakness or higher turnout among centrist voters, remains the main path that could reorder the final ranking before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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