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政治·全球選舉

薩克森-安哈特州議會選舉贏家

icon for 薩克森-安哈特州議會選舉贏家
政治·全球選舉

薩克森-安哈特州議會選舉贏家

AfD 99.3%

基督教民主聯盟 <1%

左翼黨 <1%

BSW <1%

Polymarket

$884,948 交易量

AfD 99.3%

基督教民主聯盟 <1%

左翼黨 <1%

BSW <1%

Polymarket

$884,948 交易量

icon for AfD

AfD

$90,540 交易量

99%

icon for 基督教民主聯盟

基督教民主聯盟

$502,168 交易量

1%

icon for 左翼黨

左翼黨

$47,106 交易量

<1%

icon for BSW

BSW

$36,803 交易量

<1%

icon for FDP

FDP

$27,385 交易量

<1%

icon for 社民黨

社民黨

$124,095 交易量

<1%

icon for 綠黨

綠黨

$56,851 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, consistently polling at 41–43% in recent surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and others—nearly double its 2021 result—while the CDU trails at 22–24% and smaller parties remain near or below the 5% threshold. This positioning reflects entrenched regional voter patterns in eastern Germany, where the party has consolidated support ahead of the contest. The incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition has shown limited recovery despite leadership changes. With the election only weeks away, traders price AfD as the near-certain plurality winner. Late developments such as shifts in turnout among non-AfD voters, major scandals involving leading candidates, or unexpected national political events could still narrow the gap, though current trends show stability.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$884,948
結束日期
2026-09-06
市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, consistently polling at 41–43% in recent surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and others—nearly double its 2021 result—while the CDU trails at 22–24% and smaller parties remain near or below the 5% threshold. This positioning reflects entrenched regional voter patterns in eastern Germany, where the party has consolidated support ahead of the contest. The incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition has shown limited recovery despite leadership changes. With the election only weeks away, traders price AfD as the near-certain plurality winner. Late developments such as shifts in turnout among non-AfD voters, major scandals involving leading candidates, or unexpected national political events could still narrow the gap, though current trends show stability.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$884,948
結束日期
2026-09-06
市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

相關

icon for Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

97%
icon for 基民盟會在2026年薩克森-安哈特州議會選舉中贏得第二多席位嗎？

基民盟會在2026年薩克森-安哈特州議會選舉中贏得第二多席位嗎？

98%
是
icon for Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

61%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"薩克森-安哈特州議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AfD" at 99%, followed by "基督教民主聯盟" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "薩克森-安哈特州議會選舉贏家" has generated $884.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "薩克森-安哈特州議會選舉贏家," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "薩克森-安哈特州議會選舉贏家" is "AfD" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "基督教民主聯盟" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "薩克森-安哈特州議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.