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icon for 嘉義市市長選舉優勝者

嘉義市市長選舉優勝者

icon for 嘉義市市長選舉優勝者

嘉義市市長選舉優勝者

王美惠 76%

張其楷 17%

黃宏成 4.7%

陳家平 4.4%

Polymarket

$10,665 交易量

王美惠 76%

張其楷 17%

黃宏成 4.7%

陳家平 4.4%

Polymarket

$10,665 交易量

icon for 王美惠

王美惠

$7,709 交易量

76%

icon for 張其楷

張其楷

$1,617 交易量

17%

icon for 黃宏成

黃宏成

$344 交易量

5%

icon for 陳家平

陳家平

$248 交易量

4%

icon for 陳凱煌

陳凱煌

$240 交易量

3%

icon for 翁淑良

翁淑良

$508 交易量

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee for Chiayi City mayor in Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, holds the strongest trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, reflecting her established legislative profile, the party’s October 2025 nomination, and consistent polling leads over the main challenger. Opposition forces consolidated behind Taiwan People’s Party candidate Chang Chi-kai following KMT-TPP alliance primaries, with KMT declining an independent nominee to back the joint ticket, though this has not narrowed the gap beyond a reported six-point margin in mid-2026 surveys. Lower-priced options such as Huang Hung-cheng, Chen Chia-ping, and Weng Shou-liang register limited support, consistent with the absence of major late-breaking shifts in candidate registration timelines or campaign momentum ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$10,665
結束日期
2026-11-28
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee for Chiayi City mayor in Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, holds the strongest trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, reflecting her established legislative profile, the party’s October 2025 nomination, and consistent polling leads over the main challenger. Opposition forces consolidated behind Taiwan People’s Party candidate Chang Chi-kai following KMT-TPP alliance primaries, with KMT declining an independent nominee to back the joint ticket, though this has not narrowed the gap beyond a reported six-point margin in mid-2026 surveys. Lower-priced options such as Huang Hung-cheng, Chen Chia-ping, and Weng Shou-liang register limited support, consistent with the absence of major late-breaking shifts in candidate registration timelines or campaign momentum ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$10,665
結束日期
2026-11-28
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"嘉義市市長選舉優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "王美惠" at 76%, followed by "張其楷" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "嘉義市市長選舉優勝者" has generated $10.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "嘉義市市長選舉優勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "嘉義市市長選舉優勝者" is "王美惠" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "張其楷" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "嘉義市市長選舉優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.