Eduardo Paes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, driven by his long record as Rio mayor, broad name recognition, and coalition-building across centrist and other parties ahead of the October 4 first round. The constitutional term limit barring incumbent Cláudio Castro from seeking another consecutive term has cleared the field, allowing Paes to consolidate support in recent polls that show him ahead by wide margins in both initial and potential runoff scenarios. Trader consensus at 93.5% reflects this sustained polling edge and the absence of strong challengers such as Colonel Busnello or Anthony Garotinho. Late developments including coalition shifts, candidate scandals, or unusually strong opposition turnout could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於愛德華多·派斯 93.4%
道格拉斯·魯阿斯 3.4%
布斯內洛上校 1.4%
安東尼·加羅蒂尼奧 1.1%
$291,886 交易量
$291,886 交易量
2026-10-05
愛德華多·派斯
93%
道格拉斯·魯阿斯
3%
布斯內洛上校
1%
安東尼·加羅蒂尼奧
1%
Rafa Luz
1%
費利佩·庫里
<1%
Fred Pacheco
<1%
塔爾西奧·莫塔
<1%
威爾遜·維澤爾
<1%
林德貝格·法里亞斯
<1%
安德烈·塞西利亞諾
<1%
Dr. Luizinho
<1%
奇科·馬查多
<1%
愛杜亞多·帕祖埃洛
<1%
尼古拉·米喬內
<1%
安德烈·葡萄牙
<1%
愛德華多·派斯 93.4%
道格拉斯·魯阿斯 3.4%
布斯內洛上校 1.4%
安東尼·加羅蒂尼奧 1.1%
$291,886 交易量
$291,886 交易量
2026-10-05
愛德華多·派斯
$37,956 交易量
93%
道格拉斯·魯阿斯
$11,661 交易量
3%
布斯內洛上校
$8,903 交易量
1%
安東尼·加羅蒂尼奧
$12,673 交易量
1%
Rafa Luz
$5,276 交易量
1%
費利佩·庫里
$17,820 交易量
<1%
Fred Pacheco
$133,256 交易量
<1%
塔爾西奧·莫塔
$8,937 交易量
<1%
威爾遜·維澤爾
$10,629 交易量
<1%
林德貝格·法里亞斯
$6,147 交易量
<1%
安德烈·塞西利亞諾
$10,739 交易量
<1%
Dr. Luizinho
$8,497 交易量
<1%
奇科·馬查多
$7,600 交易量
<1%
愛杜亞多·帕祖埃洛
$2,717 交易量
<1%
尼古拉·米喬內
$5,387 交易量
<1%
安德烈·葡萄牙
$3,688 交易量
<1%
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, driven by his long record as Rio mayor, broad name recognition, and coalition-building across centrist and other parties ahead of the October 4 first round. The constitutional term limit barring incumbent Cláudio Castro from seeking another consecutive term has cleared the field, allowing Paes to consolidate support in recent polls that show him ahead by wide margins in both initial and potential runoff scenarios. Trader consensus at 93.5% reflects this sustained polling edge and the absence of strong challengers such as Colonel Busnello or Anthony Garotinho. Late developments including coalition shifts, candidate scandals, or unusually strong opposition turnout could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
交易量
$291,886結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, driven by his long record as Rio mayor, broad name recognition, and coalition-building across centrist and other parties ahead of the October 4 first round. The constitutional term limit barring incumbent Cláudio Castro from seeking another consecutive term has cleared the field, allowing Paes to consolidate support in recent polls that show him ahead by wide margins in both initial and potential runoff scenarios. Trader consensus at 93.5% reflects this sustained polling edge and the absence of strong challengers such as Colonel Busnello or Anthony Garotinho. Late developments including coalition shifts, candidate scandals, or unusually strong opposition turnout could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$291,886結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, driven by his long record as Rio mayor, broad name recognition, and coalition-building across centrist and other parties ahead of the October 4 first round. The constitutional term limit barring incumbent Cláudio Castro from seeking another consecutive term has cleared the field, allowing Paes to consolidate support in recent polls that show him ahead by wide margins in both initial and potential runoff scenarios. Trader consensus at 93.5% reflects this sustained polling edge and the absence of strong challengers such as Colonel Busnello or Anthony Garotinho. Late developments including coalition shifts, candidate scandals, or unusually strong opposition turnout could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions