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選舉·巴西

裏約熱內盧州長選舉獲勝者

icon for 裏約熱內盧州長選舉獲勝者
選舉·巴西

裏約熱內盧州長選舉獲勝者

奇科·馬查多 22%

尼古拉·米喬內 18%

Fred Pacheco 14.5%

愛杜亞多·帕祖埃洛 13%

Polymarket
最新

奇科·馬查多 22%

尼古拉·米喬內 18%

Fred Pacheco 14.5%

愛杜亞多·帕祖埃洛 13%

Polymarket
最新

奇科·馬查多

$243 交易量

22%

尼古拉·米喬內

$165 交易量

18%

Fred Pacheco

$217 交易量

14%

愛杜亞多·帕祖埃洛

$56 交易量

13%

費利佩·庫里

$1,520 交易量

11%

安德烈·葡萄牙

$192 交易量

10%

安東尼·加羅蒂尼奧

$1,100 交易量

8%

塔爾西奧·莫塔

$192 交易量

6%

林德貝格·法里亞斯

$142 交易量

5%

安德烈·塞西利亞諾

$2,618 交易量

5%

威爾遜·維澤爾

$242 交易量

4%

Dr. Luizinho

$2,022 交易量

2%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race remains wide open following incumbent Cláudio Castro’s early exit and term-limit constraints, with a fragmented field of more than a dozen declared or potential candidates preventing any single contender from consolidating support ahead of July party conventions. Eduardo Paes (PSD), the long-serving Rio mayor, leads recent Quaest polling at 34–40% in first-round scenarios and projects strong runoff advantages, driven by his urban governance record on security and fiscal issues, yet trader pricing on individual names stays low and dispersed. Key variables include coalition negotiations involving PL allies like Nicola Miccione and Douglas Ruas, center-right figures such as Anthony Garotinho and Wilson Witzel, and left-leaning options like André Ceciliano or Lindbergh Farias, plus potential late entries or alliances that could shift second-round dynamics before the October 4 vote.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$8,707
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race remains wide open following incumbent Cláudio Castro’s early exit and term-limit constraints, with a fragmented field of more than a dozen declared or potential candidates preventing any single contender from consolidating support ahead of July party conventions. Eduardo Paes (PSD), the long-serving Rio mayor, leads recent Quaest polling at 34–40% in first-round scenarios and projects strong runoff advantages, driven by his urban governance record on security and fiscal issues, yet trader pricing on individual names stays low and dispersed. Key variables include coalition negotiations involving PL allies like Nicola Miccione and Douglas Ruas, center-right figures such as Anthony Garotinho and Wilson Witzel, and left-leaning options like André Ceciliano or Lindbergh Farias, plus potential late entries or alliances that could shift second-round dynamics before the October 4 vote.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$8,707
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"裏約熱內盧州長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "奇科·馬查多" at 22%, followed by "尼古拉·米喬內" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"裏約熱內盧州長選舉獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "裏約熱內盧州長選舉獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "裏約熱內盧州長選舉獲勝者" is "奇科·馬查多" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "尼古拉·米喬內" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "裏約熱內盧州長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.