Eduardo Paes maintains overwhelming trader support in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition from multiple mayoral terms, early polling leads of 34-50% in tested scenarios, and efforts to build cross-party alliances ahead of the October 4 first round. His resignation from the mayoralty in March 2026 to pursue the governorship under PSD has consolidated center and moderate backing, leaving fragmented opposition among lower-polling figures such as Anthony Garotinho and Douglas Ruas. The market's 93%+ implied probability reflects this dominance and the absence of comparable challengers, though late developments including candidate coalitions, turnout shifts, or unforeseen events before election day could still alter the field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於愛德華多·派斯 93.3%
安東尼·加羅蒂尼奧 2.7%
布斯內洛上校 2.6%
道格拉斯·魯阿斯 1.7%
$282,938 交易量
$282,938 交易量
2026-10-05
愛德華多·派斯
93%
安東尼·加羅蒂尼奧
3%
布斯內洛上校
3%
道格拉斯·魯阿斯
2%
Rafa Luz
1%
費利佩·庫里
<1%
Fred Pacheco
<1%
塔爾西奧·莫塔
<1%
威爾遜·維澤爾
<1%
林德貝格·法里亞斯
<1%
安德烈·塞西利亞諾
<1%
Dr. Luizinho
<1%
奇科·馬查多
<1%
愛杜亞多·帕祖埃洛
<1%
尼古拉·米喬內
<1%
安德烈·葡萄牙
<1%
愛德華多·派斯 93.3%
安東尼·加羅蒂尼奧 2.7%
布斯內洛上校 2.6%
道格拉斯·魯阿斯 1.7%
$282,938 交易量
$282,938 交易量
2026-10-05
愛德華多·派斯
$37,818 交易量
93%
安東尼·加羅蒂尼奧
$8,358 交易量
3%
布斯內洛上校
$5,079 交易量
3%
道格拉斯·魯阿斯
$11,556 交易量
2%
Rafa Luz
$5,230 交易量
1%
費利佩·庫里
$17,774 交易量
<1%
Fred Pacheco
$133,056 交易量
<1%
塔爾西奧·莫塔
$8,891 交易量
<1%
威爾遜·維澤爾
$10,583 交易量
<1%
林德貝格·法里亞斯
$6,102 交易量
<1%
安德烈·塞西利亞諾
$10,694 交易量
<1%
Dr. Luizinho
$8,451 交易量
<1%
奇科·馬查多
$7,554 交易量
<1%
愛杜亞多·帕祖埃洛
$2,717 交易量
<1%
尼古拉·米喬內
$5,387 交易量
<1%
安德烈·葡萄牙
$3,688 交易量
<1%
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes maintains overwhelming trader support in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition from multiple mayoral terms, early polling leads of 34-50% in tested scenarios, and efforts to build cross-party alliances ahead of the October 4 first round. His resignation from the mayoralty in March 2026 to pursue the governorship under PSD has consolidated center and moderate backing, leaving fragmented opposition among lower-polling figures such as Anthony Garotinho and Douglas Ruas. The market's 93%+ implied probability reflects this dominance and the absence of comparable challengers, though late developments including candidate coalitions, turnout shifts, or unforeseen events before election day could still alter the field.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
交易量
$282,938結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes maintains overwhelming trader support in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition from multiple mayoral terms, early polling leads of 34-50% in tested scenarios, and efforts to build cross-party alliances ahead of the October 4 first round. His resignation from the mayoralty in March 2026 to pursue the governorship under PSD has consolidated center and moderate backing, leaving fragmented opposition among lower-polling figures such as Anthony Garotinho and Douglas Ruas. The market's 93%+ implied probability reflects this dominance and the absence of comparable challengers, though late developments including candidate coalitions, turnout shifts, or unforeseen events before election day could still alter the field.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$282,938結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes maintains overwhelming trader support in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition from multiple mayoral terms, early polling leads of 34-50% in tested scenarios, and efforts to build cross-party alliances ahead of the October 4 first round. His resignation from the mayoralty in March 2026 to pursue the governorship under PSD has consolidated center and moderate backing, leaving fragmented opposition among lower-polling figures such as Anthony Garotinho and Douglas Ruas. The market's 93%+ implied probability reflects this dominance and the absence of comparable challengers, though late developments including candidate coalitions, turnout shifts, or unforeseen events before election day could still alter the field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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