Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the lead in trader pricing due to his incumbency edge, strong approval ratings near 77 percent, and consistent first-round leads in June polls from Real Time Big Data, where he reaches 37–39 percent against challengers. Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) trails at 28–33 percent but remains the main threat, while other names like Magno Malta (PL), Paulo Hartung (PSD), and Helder Salomão (PT) poll lower and fragment opposition support. The race stays competitive because the October 4 election is months away, early polling shows volatility, and coalition negotiations or campaign dynamics could still shift voter preferences among undecided blocs before the first and potential second rounds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於里卡多·費哈索 56%
洛倫佐·帕佐利尼 29%
阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈 9.4%
Euclério Sampaio 7.4%
里卡多·費哈索
56%
洛倫佐·帕佐利尼
29%
阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈
9%
Euclério Sampaio
7%
塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾
7%
里卡多·費哈索 56%
洛倫佐·帕佐利尼 29%
阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈 9.4%
Euclério Sampaio 7.4%
里卡多·費哈索
56%
洛倫佐·帕佐利尼
29%
阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈
9%
Euclério Sampaio
7%
塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾
7%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the lead in trader pricing due to his incumbency edge, strong approval ratings near 77 percent, and consistent first-round leads in June polls from Real Time Big Data, where he reaches 37–39 percent against challengers. Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) trails at 28–33 percent but remains the main threat, while other names like Magno Malta (PL), Paulo Hartung (PSD), and Helder Salomão (PT) poll lower and fragment opposition support. The race stays competitive because the October 4 election is months away, early polling shows volatility, and coalition negotiations or campaign dynamics could still shift voter preferences among undecided blocs before the first and potential second rounds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions