Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, leads trader pricing at 63% as the Espírito Santo gubernatorial election approaches on October 4. Recent polling from August and early September shows Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios (typically 35-43%) and favored in projected runoffs against main challengers. Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor, trails at 33.5% amid consistent second-place finishes around 28-39%. Other registered candidates including Helder Salomão (PT), Breno Barcelos (Missão), and Rafael Demuner (UP) register lower single-digit support, aligning with their minimal market pricing. Ferraço's position draws from incumbency, a broad coalition, and emphasis on public security gains, while Pazolini's standing reflects his mayoral record and opposition consolidation. No major late shifts have altered the competitive dynamic ahead of the first-round vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於里卡多·費哈索 63%
洛倫佐·帕佐利尼 35%
塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾 <1%
阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈 <1%
$40,327 交易量
$40,327 交易量
2026-10-04
里卡多·費哈索
63%
洛倫佐·帕佐利尼
35%
塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾
<1%
阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
里卡多·費哈索 63%
洛倫佐·帕佐利尼 35%
塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾 <1%
阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈 <1%
$40,327 交易量
$40,327 交易量
2026-10-04
里卡多·費哈索
$14,496 交易量
63%
洛倫佐·帕佐利尼
$13,949 交易量
35%
塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾
$3,569 交易量
<1%
阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈
$4,885 交易量
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
$3,428 交易量
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, leads trader pricing at 63% as the Espírito Santo gubernatorial election approaches on October 4. Recent polling from August and early September shows Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios (typically 35-43%) and favored in projected runoffs against main challengers. Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor, trails at 33.5% amid consistent second-place finishes around 28-39%. Other registered candidates including Helder Salomão (PT), Breno Barcelos (Missão), and Rafael Demuner (UP) register lower single-digit support, aligning with their minimal market pricing. Ferraço's position draws from incumbency, a broad coalition, and emphasis on public security gains, while Pazolini's standing reflects his mayoral record and opposition consolidation. No major late shifts have altered the competitive dynamic ahead of the first-round vote.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
交易量
$40,327結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETThe Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, leads trader pricing at 63% as the Espírito Santo gubernatorial election approaches on October 4. Recent polling from August and early September shows Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios (typically 35-43%) and favored in projected runoffs against main challengers. Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor, trails at 33.5% amid consistent second-place finishes around 28-39%. Other registered candidates including Helder Salomão (PT), Breno Barcelos (Missão), and Rafael Demuner (UP) register lower single-digit support, aligning with their minimal market pricing. Ferraço's position draws from incumbency, a broad coalition, and emphasis on public security gains, while Pazolini's standing reflects his mayoral record and opposition consolidation. No major late shifts have altered the competitive dynamic ahead of the first-round vote.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$40,327結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETRicardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, leads trader pricing at 63% as the Espírito Santo gubernatorial election approaches on October 4. Recent polling from August and early September shows Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios (typically 35-43%) and favored in projected runoffs against main challengers. Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor, trails at 33.5% amid consistent second-place finishes around 28-39%. Other registered candidates including Helder Salomão (PT), Breno Barcelos (Missão), and Rafael Demuner (UP) register lower single-digit support, aligning with their minimal market pricing. Ferraço's position draws from incumbency, a broad coalition, and emphasis on public security gains, while Pazolini's standing reflects his mayoral record and opposition consolidation. No major late shifts have altered the competitive dynamic ahead of the first-round vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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