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icon for Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家

Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家

icon for Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家

Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家

里卡多·費哈索 56%

洛倫佐·帕佐利尼 29%

阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈 9.4%

Euclério Sampaio 7.4%

Polymarket
最新

里卡多·費哈索 56%

洛倫佐·帕佐利尼 29%

阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈 9.4%

Euclério Sampaio 7.4%

Polymarket
最新

里卡多·費哈索

$60 交易量

56%

洛倫佐·帕佐利尼

$120 交易量

29%

阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈

$141 交易量

9%

Euclério Sampaio

$150 交易量

7%

塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾

$37 交易量

7%

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the lead in trader pricing due to his incumbency edge, strong approval ratings near 77 percent, and consistent first-round leads in June polls from Real Time Big Data, where he reaches 37–39 percent against challengers. Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) trails at 28–33 percent but remains the main threat, while other names like Magno Malta (PL), Paulo Hartung (PSD), and Helder Salomão (PT) poll lower and fragment opposition support. The race stays competitive because the October 4 election is months away, early polling shows volatility, and coalition negotiations or campaign dynamics could still shift voter preferences among undecided blocs before the first and potential second rounds.

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$508
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the lead in trader pricing due to his incumbency edge, strong approval ratings near 77 percent, and consistent first-round leads in June polls from Real Time Big Data, where he reaches 37–39 percent against challengers. Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) trails at 28–33 percent but remains the main threat, while other names like Magno Malta (PL), Paulo Hartung (PSD), and Helder Salomão (PT) poll lower and fragment opposition support. The race stays competitive because the October 4 election is months away, early polling shows volatility, and coalition negotiations or campaign dynamics could still shift voter preferences among undecided blocs before the first and potential second rounds.

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$508
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "里卡多·費哈索" at 56%, followed by "洛倫佐·帕佐利尼" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家 " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家 ," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家 " is "里卡多·費哈索" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "洛倫佐·帕佐利尼" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.