Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家

icon for Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家

里卡多·費哈索 64%

洛倫佐·帕佐利尼 36%

塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾 <1%

阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈 <1%

Polymarket

$40,650 交易量

里卡多·費哈索 64%

洛倫佐·帕佐利尼 36%

塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾 <1%

阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈 <1%

Polymarket

$40,650 交易量

里卡多·費哈索

$14,588 交易量

64%

洛倫佐·帕佐利尼

$14,180 交易量

36%

塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾

$3,569 交易量

<1%

阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈

$4,885 交易量

<1%

Euclério Sampaio

$3,428 交易量

<1%

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, leads the market at 64% as traders price in his consistent polling edge and high approval ratings near 75%. Recent August-September surveys from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others show Ferraço at 35-43% in first-round scenarios against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 28-39%, with Ferraço favored in second-round runoffs by margins of 10 points or more. Pazolini, the main challenger and former Vitória mayor, sits at 35.5% amid a fragmented field that includes Helder Salomão (PT) and minor registered candidates. With the October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff approaching, Ferraço’s structural advantages from the outgoing coalition and public emphasis on security gains have shaped the current trader consensus.

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$40,650
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, leads the market at 64% as traders price in his consistent polling edge and high approval ratings near 75%. Recent August-September surveys from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others show Ferraço at 35-43% in first-round scenarios against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 28-39%, with Ferraço favored in second-round runoffs by margins of 10 points or more. Pazolini, the main challenger and former Vitória mayor, sits at 35.5% amid a fragmented field that includes Helder Salomão (PT) and minor registered candidates. With the October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff approaching, Ferraço’s structural advantages from the outgoing coalition and public emphasis on security gains have shaped the current trader consensus.

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$40,650
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

相關

icon for 塔爾西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯會贏得2026年聖保羅州長選舉嗎？

塔爾西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯會贏得2026年聖保羅州長選舉嗎？

98%
是
icon for 塞爾吉奧·莫羅會贏得巴拉那州州長選舉嗎？

塞爾吉奧·莫羅會贏得巴拉那州州長選舉嗎？

83%
是
icon for 哈娜·加桑會贏得帕拉州州長選舉嗎？

哈娜·加桑會贏得帕拉州州長選舉嗎？

66%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "里卡多·費哈索" at 64%, followed by "洛倫佐·帕佐利尼" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家" has generated $40.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家" is "里卡多·費哈索" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "洛倫佐·帕佐利尼" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Espírito Santo州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.