Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor of Pará who assumed office following Helder Barbalho’s departure for a Senate bid, holds a structural edge through her incumbency, a broad coalition including MDB, PT, PSD, and others, and recent polling leads. Mid-September surveys such as Real Time Big Data showed her at 40% versus Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 35% in first-round simulations, with Hana extending the margin to 42-36% in runoff matchups; earlier Quaest and Veritá releases indicated tighter or alternating leads. Daniel, the former Ananindeua mayor, draws strength from metropolitan support and his own coalition but trails in most head-to-head data. With the first round set for October 4 and substantial undecided voters, trader pricing at 65% for Ghassan and 34.5% for Santos captures the narrow but consistent advantage for the incumbent heading into the final campaign weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於哈娜·加桑 61%
丹尼爾·桑托斯博士 37%
埃德爾·毛羅 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$46,893 交易量
$46,893 交易量
2026-10-04
哈娜·加桑
61%
丹尼爾·桑托斯博士
37%
埃德爾·毛羅
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
澤基尼亞·馬林紐
<1%
羅傑里奧·巴拉
<1%
保羅·霍查
<1%
哈娜·加桑 61%
丹尼爾·桑托斯博士 37%
埃德爾·毛羅 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$46,893 交易量
$46,893 交易量
2026-10-04
哈娜·加桑
$17,312 交易量
61%
丹尼爾·桑托斯博士
$12,839 交易量
37%
埃德爾·毛羅
$5,308 交易量
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$2,835 交易量
<1%
澤基尼亞·馬林紐
$2,831 交易量
<1%
羅傑里奧·巴拉
$2,892 交易量
<1%
保羅·霍查
$2,875 交易量
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor of Pará who assumed office following Helder Barbalho’s departure for a Senate bid, holds a structural edge through her incumbency, a broad coalition including MDB, PT, PSD, and others, and recent polling leads. Mid-September surveys such as Real Time Big Data showed her at 40% versus Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 35% in first-round simulations, with Hana extending the margin to 42-36% in runoff matchups; earlier Quaest and Veritá releases indicated tighter or alternating leads. Daniel, the former Ananindeua mayor, draws strength from metropolitan support and his own coalition but trails in most head-to-head data. With the first round set for October 4 and substantial undecided voters, trader pricing at 65% for Ghassan and 34.5% for Santos captures the narrow but consistent advantage for the incumbent heading into the final campaign weeks.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
交易量
$46,893結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETThe Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor of Pará who assumed office following Helder Barbalho’s departure for a Senate bid, holds a structural edge through her incumbency, a broad coalition including MDB, PT, PSD, and others, and recent polling leads. Mid-September surveys such as Real Time Big Data showed her at 40% versus Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 35% in first-round simulations, with Hana extending the margin to 42-36% in runoff matchups; earlier Quaest and Veritá releases indicated tighter or alternating leads. Daniel, the former Ananindeua mayor, draws strength from metropolitan support and his own coalition but trails in most head-to-head data. With the first round set for October 4 and substantial undecided voters, trader pricing at 65% for Ghassan and 34.5% for Santos captures the narrow but consistent advantage for the incumbent heading into the final campaign weeks.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$46,893結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETHana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor of Pará who assumed office following Helder Barbalho’s departure for a Senate bid, holds a structural edge through her incumbency, a broad coalition including MDB, PT, PSD, and others, and recent polling leads. Mid-September surveys such as Real Time Big Data showed her at 40% versus Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 35% in first-round simulations, with Hana extending the margin to 42-36% in runoff matchups; earlier Quaest and Veritá releases indicated tighter or alternating leads. Daniel, the former Ananindeua mayor, draws strength from metropolitan support and his own coalition but trails in most head-to-head data. With the first round set for October 4 and substantial undecided voters, trader pricing at 65% for Ghassan and 34.5% for Santos captures the narrow but consistent advantage for the incumbent heading into the final campaign weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions