Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives remain tightly contested for second place, with traders assigning PJD the highest implied probability at 44.5 percent amid a fragmented field. The outgoing RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition faces internal leadership shifts, including RNI’s transition to Mohamed Chaouki, while all three emphasize job creation, purchasing power, and infrastructure ahead of the 2030 World Cup. PJD’s rebound effort under Abdelilah Benkirane, focused on social protection and institutional reform after its 2021 collapse to 13 seats, adds uncertainty, as does low youth turnout and persistent economic discontent. PAM’s reported organizational momentum and RNI’s established machinery keep the top three closely bunched, with Istiqlal also in contention; any late shifts in local candidate strength or voter mobilization could quickly reorder probabilities before polls close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於PJD 44.5%
RNI 39%
PAM 22%
PI 15.7%
$33,036 交易量
$33,036 交易量
2026-09-23
PJD
44%
RNI
39%
PAM
22%
PI
16%
UC
1%
MP
1%
USFP
<1%
PPS
<1%
PJD 44.5%
RNI 39%
PAM 22%
PI 15.7%
$33,036 交易量
$33,036 交易量
2026-09-23
PJD
$943 交易量
44%
RNI
$8,073 交易量
39%
PAM
$5,759 交易量
22%
PI
$15,998 交易量
16%
UC
$532 交易量
1%
MP
$615 交易量
1%
USFP
$545 交易量
<1%
PPS
$571 交易量
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives remain tightly contested for second place, with traders assigning PJD the highest implied probability at 44.5 percent amid a fragmented field. The outgoing RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition faces internal leadership shifts, including RNI’s transition to Mohamed Chaouki, while all three emphasize job creation, purchasing power, and infrastructure ahead of the 2030 World Cup. PJD’s rebound effort under Abdelilah Benkirane, focused on social protection and institutional reform after its 2021 collapse to 13 seats, adds uncertainty, as does low youth turnout and persistent economic discontent. PAM’s reported organizational momentum and RNI’s established machinery keep the top three closely bunched, with Istiqlal also in contention; any late shifts in local candidate strength or voter mobilization could quickly reorder probabilities before polls close.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
交易量
$33,036結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETLegislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives remain tightly contested for second place, with traders assigning PJD the highest implied probability at 44.5 percent amid a fragmented field. The outgoing RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition faces internal leadership shifts, including RNI’s transition to Mohamed Chaouki, while all three emphasize job creation, purchasing power, and infrastructure ahead of the 2030 World Cup. PJD’s rebound effort under Abdelilah Benkirane, focused on social protection and institutional reform after its 2021 collapse to 13 seats, adds uncertainty, as does low youth turnout and persistent economic discontent. PAM’s reported organizational momentum and RNI’s established machinery keep the top three closely bunched, with Istiqlal also in contention; any late shifts in local candidate strength or voter mobilization could quickly reorder probabilities before polls close.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$33,036結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETMorocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives remain tightly contested for second place, with traders assigning PJD the highest implied probability at 44.5 percent amid a fragmented field. The outgoing RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition faces internal leadership shifts, including RNI’s transition to Mohamed Chaouki, while all three emphasize job creation, purchasing power, and infrastructure ahead of the 2030 World Cup. PJD’s rebound effort under Abdelilah Benkirane, focused on social protection and institutional reform after its 2021 collapse to 13 seats, adds uncertainty, as does low youth turnout and persistent economic discontent. PAM’s reported organizational momentum and RNI’s established machinery keep the top three closely bunched, with Istiqlal also in contention; any late shifts in local candidate strength or voter mobilization could quickly reorder probabilities before polls close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions