Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented contest under proportional representation that leaves second place unusually open. RNI holds the incumbent edge after 2021 gains but faces internal leadership shifts, while PAM and Istiqlal trade momentum in recent surveys and by-election results. PJD’s rebound effort under former prime minister Benkirane adds another variable, as does the distribution of roughly 15.8 million voters across local and regional lists. With no dominant polling leader and thin historical data on late swings, traders price multiple parties near even odds for the second-highest seat total. Outcomes hinge on turnout among first-time voters, coalition signals before polls close, and how regional strongholds translate into national seat shares.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於RNI 49%
PI 15.3%
PAM 15%
UC 1.0%
$33,548 交易量
$33,548 交易量

RNI
41%

PI
15%

PAM
15%

UC
1%

MP
1%

USFP
<1%

PPS
<1%

PJD
32%
RNI 49%
PI 15.3%
PAM 15%
UC 1.0%
$33,548 交易量
$33,548 交易量

RNI
41%

PI
15%

PAM
15%

UC
1%

MP
1%

USFP
<1%

PPS
<1%

PJD
32%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented contest under proportional representation that leaves second place unusually open. RNI holds the incumbent edge after 2021 gains but faces internal leadership shifts, while PAM and Istiqlal trade momentum in recent surveys and by-election results. PJD’s rebound effort under former prime minister Benkirane adds another variable, as does the distribution of roughly 15.8 million voters across local and regional lists. With no dominant polling leader and thin historical data on late swings, traders price multiple parties near even odds for the second-highest seat total. Outcomes hinge on turnout among first-time voters, coalition signals before polls close, and how regional strongholds translate into national seat shares.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions