Russia's State Duma elections, set for September 18–20, 2026, feature multi-day voting and expanded electronic options that historically support moderate participation. Trader pricing clusters around 50–56% turnout because Kremlin mobilization through state employees and corporate networks has produced variable results amid war fatigue, economic pressures including fuel shortages, and declining approval for United Russia. Recent downward revisions to internal turnout and vote-share targets reflect these headwinds, while polls show declared intent near 66% but actual engagement tempered by limited campaign visibility and reduced opposition competition. Intensified “mobilizer” oversight or shifts in conflict dynamics could push figures higher or entrench abstention in the final weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於50-53% 30%
53-56% 28.9%
47-50% 12%
59-62% 10.5%
$54,328 交易量
$54,328 交易量
2026-09-19
<47%
2%
47-50%
12%
50-53%
30%
53-56%
29%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
50-53% 30%
53-56% 28.9%
47-50% 12%
59-62% 10.5%
$54,328 交易量
$54,328 交易量
2026-09-19
<47%
$2,385 交易量
2%
47-50%
$6,452 交易量
12%
50-53%
$5,447 交易量
30%
53-56%
$3,394 交易量
29%
56-59%
$6,521 交易量
10%
59-62%
$5,458 交易量
11%
62%+
$24,674 交易量
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's State Duma elections, set for September 18–20, 2026, feature multi-day voting and expanded electronic options that historically support moderate participation. Trader pricing clusters around 50–56% turnout because Kremlin mobilization through state employees and corporate networks has produced variable results amid war fatigue, economic pressures including fuel shortages, and declining approval for United Russia. Recent downward revisions to internal turnout and vote-share targets reflect these headwinds, while polls show declared intent near 66% but actual engagement tempered by limited campaign visibility and reduced opposition competition. Intensified “mobilizer” oversight or shifts in conflict dynamics could push figures higher or entrench abstention in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
市場開放時間： Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
交易量
$54,328結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's State Duma elections, set for September 18–20, 2026, feature multi-day voting and expanded electronic options that historically support moderate participation. Trader pricing clusters around 50–56% turnout because Kremlin mobilization through state employees and corporate networks has produced variable results amid war fatigue, economic pressures including fuel shortages, and declining approval for United Russia. Recent downward revisions to internal turnout and vote-share targets reflect these headwinds, while polls show declared intent near 66% but actual engagement tempered by limited campaign visibility and reduced opposition competition. Intensified “mobilizer” oversight or shifts in conflict dynamics could push figures higher or entrench abstention in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
交易量
$54,328結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETRussia's State Duma elections, set for September 18–20, 2026, feature multi-day voting and expanded electronic options that historically support moderate participation. Trader pricing clusters around 50–56% turnout because Kremlin mobilization through state employees and corporate networks has produced variable results amid war fatigue, economic pressures including fuel shortages, and declining approval for United Russia. Recent downward revisions to internal turnout and vote-share targets reflect these headwinds, while polls show declared intent near 66% but actual engagement tempered by limited campaign visibility and reduced opposition competition. Intensified “mobilizer” oversight or shifts in conflict dynamics could push figures higher or entrench abstention in the final weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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