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icon for 祕魯總統選舉獲勝者

祕魯總統選舉獲勝者

icon for 祕魯總統選舉獲勝者

祕魯總統選舉獲勝者

藤森惠子 62%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾 34.9%

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 1.1%

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯 <1%

Polymarket

$51,011,908 交易量

藤森惠子 62%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾 34.9%

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 1.1%

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯 <1%

Polymarket

$51,011,908 交易量

icon for 藤森惠子

藤森惠子

$6,298,500 交易量

62%

icon for 羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾

$12,465,669 交易量

35%

icon for 拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加

$11,686,542 交易量

1%

icon for 卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

$2,270,675 交易量

<1%

icon for 塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

$642,951 交易量

<1%

icon for 弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

$252,942 交易量

<1%

icon for 羅貝托·奇亞布拉

羅貝托·奇亞布拉

$136,391 交易量

<1%

icon for 恩里克·瓦爾德拉馬

恩里克·瓦爾德拉馬

$246,128 交易量

<1%

icon for 梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

$324,092 交易量

<1%

icon for 喬治·涅托

喬治·涅托

$5,524,843 交易量

<1%

icon for 馬里奧·維茲卡拉

馬里奧·維茲卡拉

$205,716 交易量

<1%

icon for 荷塞·盧納

荷塞·盧納

$369,848 交易量

<1%

icon for 荷西·威廉斯

荷西·威廉斯

$143,207 交易量

<1%

icon for 菲奧雷拉·莫利內利

菲奧雷拉·莫利內利

$161,233 交易量

<1%

icon for 費爾南多·奧利維拉

費爾南多·奧利維拉

$472,555 交易量

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$437,428 交易量

<1%

icon for 阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏

$2,148,594 交易量

<1%

icon for 喬治·福賽斯

喬治·福賽斯

$277,708 交易量

<1%

icon for 里卡多·貝爾蒙特

里卡多·貝爾蒙特

$4,068,221 交易量

<1%

icon for 卡洛斯·埃斯帕

卡洛斯·埃斯帕

$1,092,450 交易量

<1%

icon for 拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·廖薩

拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·廖薩

$221,872 交易量

<1%

icon for 瑪麗索·佩雷斯·特略

瑪麗索·佩雷斯·特略

$861,569 交易量

<1%

icon for 沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

$702,774 交易量

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori's trader consensus lead at 61.5% stems from her first-round plurality of 17.2% in the fragmented April 12 election among 35 candidates, positioning her strongly for the June 7 runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino, who secured second at 12.0% after a protracted vote count finalized May 12 amid fraud claims and a razor-thin edge over Rafael López Aliaga. Late April polls from Ipsos and IEP show a deadlocked matchup near 50-50 with undecideds, yet markets favor Fujimori's Fuerza Popular organization, prior campaign experience, and potential to consolidate center-right votes amid Peru's instability. Key upcoming catalysts include regional endorsements and debate performances before resolution.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$51,011,908
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori's trader consensus lead at 61.5% stems from her first-round plurality of 17.2% in the fragmented April 12 election among 35 candidates, positioning her strongly for the June 7 runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino, who secured second at 12.0% after a protracted vote count finalized May 12 amid fraud claims and a razor-thin edge over Rafael López Aliaga. Late April polls from Ipsos and IEP show a deadlocked matchup near 50-50 with undecideds, yet markets favor Fujimori's Fuerza Popular organization, prior campaign experience, and potential to consolidate center-right votes amid Peru's instability. Key upcoming catalysts include regional endorsements and debate performances before resolution.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$51,011,908
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "藤森惠子" at 62%, followed by "羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" has generated $51 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" is "藤森惠子" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.