Skip to main content
icon for 馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家
選舉·巴西

馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家

icon for 馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家
選舉·巴西

馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家

愛德華多·布拉伊德 45%

奧爾良斯·布蘭當 35%

Enilton Rodrigues 15.0%

Lahesio Bonfim 12%

Polymarket
最新

愛德華多·布拉伊德 45%

奧爾良斯·布蘭當 35%

Enilton Rodrigues 15.0%

Lahesio Bonfim 12%

Polymarket
最新

愛德華多·布拉伊德

$544 交易量

45%

奧爾良斯·布蘭當

$69 交易量

35%

Enilton Rodrigues

$275 交易量

11%

Lahesio Bonfim

$68 交易量

12%

Felipe Camarão

$64 交易量

9%

安德烈·路易士

$169 交易量

4%

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Early in the 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, with the October 4 first-round vote still months away and party conventions scheduled for July-August, trader odds reflect an open field among multiple pre-candidates. Eduardo Braide (PSD), the São Luís mayor, holds the highest implied probability at 44.5% after formalizing his bid and leading recent AtlasIntel and Quaest polling by wide margins in first-round and runoff scenarios. Orleans Brandão (MDB) follows at 36%, benefiting from ties to the outgoing administration amid a fragmented left that includes Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10.5% and Felipe Camarão (PT) at 9%. The spread across additional names and "other" keeps the contest competitive, with potential shifts tied to alliance formation, candidate consolidation, or late polling movements before ballots close.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,189
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Early in the 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, with the October 4 first-round vote still months away and party conventions scheduled for July-August, trader odds reflect an open field among multiple pre-candidates. Eduardo Braide (PSD), the São Luís mayor, holds the highest implied probability at 44.5% after formalizing his bid and leading recent AtlasIntel and Quaest polling by wide margins in first-round and runoff scenarios. Orleans Brandão (MDB) follows at 36%, benefiting from ties to the outgoing administration amid a fragmented left that includes Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10.5% and Felipe Camarão (PT) at 9%. The spread across additional names and "other" keeps the contest competitive, with potential shifts tied to alliance formation, candidate consolidation, or late polling movements before ballots close.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,189
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "愛德華多·布拉伊德" at 45%, followed by "奧爾良斯·布蘭當" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家" is "愛德華多·布拉伊德" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "奧爾良斯·布蘭當" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.