The Liberal Party (PL) leads trader consensus for the most Chamber seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, election, consistent with its position as the largest current bloc and enduring strength among right-leaning voters aligned with the broader opposition movement. The União Progressista (UPB) federation trails as the main challenger, backed by the established alliance between União Brasil and Progressistas that consolidates center-right forces. Smaller parties and left-leaning federations such as FE Brasil remain fragmented, limiting their prospects under Brazil’s proportional representation system with high thresholds. Recent presidential polling showing a competitive race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro has reinforced expectations of continued right-wing legislative resilience without major shifts in the past month. Scheduled campaign start and ongoing coalition negotiations remain the primary near-term variables that could influence final seat distributions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於PL 62%
UPB 37.5%
FE Brasil <1%
MDB <1%
$98,974 交易量
$98,974 交易量
2026-10-03
PL
62%
UPB
37%
FE Brasil
1%
MDB
<1%
PSD
<1%
共和黨（REPUBLICANOS）
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
<1%
PDT
<1%
Avante
<1%
MISSÃO
<1%
PSB
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
PODE
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PL 62%
UPB 37.5%
FE Brasil <1%
MDB <1%
$98,974 交易量
$98,974 交易量
2026-10-03
PL
$42,942 交易量
62%
UPB
$13,154 交易量
37%
FE Brasil
$4,667 交易量
1%
MDB
$4,333 交易量
<1%
PSD
$2,574 交易量
<1%
共和黨（REPUBLICANOS）
$2,850 交易量
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$2,578 交易量
<1%
PDT
$2,495 交易量
<1%
Avante
$2,531 交易量
<1%
MISSÃO
$7,591 交易量
<1%
PSB
$2,946 交易量
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$2,581 交易量
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$2,948 交易量
<1%
PODE
$2,399 交易量
<1%
NOVO
$2,383 交易量
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).The Liberal Party (PL) leads trader consensus for the most Chamber seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, election, consistent with its position as the largest current bloc and enduring strength among right-leaning voters aligned with the broader opposition movement. The União Progressista (UPB) federation trails as the main challenger, backed by the established alliance between União Brasil and Progressistas that consolidates center-right forces. Smaller parties and left-leaning federations such as FE Brasil remain fragmented, limiting their prospects under Brazil’s proportional representation system with high thresholds. Recent presidential polling showing a competitive race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro has reinforced expectations of continued right-wing legislative resilience without major shifts in the past month. Scheduled campaign start and ongoing coalition negotiations remain the primary near-term variables that could influence final seat distributions.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
交易量
$98,974結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).The Liberal Party (PL) leads trader consensus for the most Chamber seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, election, consistent with its position as the largest current bloc and enduring strength among right-leaning voters aligned with the broader opposition movement. The União Progressista (UPB) federation trails as the main challenger, backed by the established alliance between União Brasil and Progressistas that consolidates center-right forces. Smaller parties and left-leaning federations such as FE Brasil remain fragmented, limiting their prospects under Brazil’s proportional representation system with high thresholds. Recent presidential polling showing a competitive race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro has reinforced expectations of continued right-wing legislative resilience without major shifts in the past month. Scheduled campaign start and ongoing coalition negotiations remain the primary near-term variables that could influence final seat distributions.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
交易量
$98,974結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Liberal Party (PL) leads trader consensus for the most Chamber seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, election, consistent with its position as the largest current bloc and enduring strength among right-leaning voters aligned with the broader opposition movement. The União Progressista (UPB) federation trails as the main challenger, backed by the established alliance between União Brasil and Progressistas that consolidates center-right forces. Smaller parties and left-leaning federations such as FE Brasil remain fragmented, limiting their prospects under Brazil’s proportional representation system with high thresholds. Recent presidential polling showing a competitive race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro has reinforced expectations of continued right-wing legislative resilience without major shifts in the past month. Scheduled campaign start and ongoing coalition negotiations remain the primary near-term variables that could influence final seat distributions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions