Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were formally postponed by the National Electoral Commission and the House of Elders due to security concerns, technical hurdles, and drought conditions, resulting in a term extension that shifts voting to March 2027. This institutional decision has produced overwhelming trader consensus around no election before 2027, reflecting the established pattern of repeated delays in Somaliland’s electoral calendar and the absence of any subsequent reversal or acceleration. The three recognized parties—UCID, Waddani, and Kulmiye—remain low-probability options because the current House of Representatives term has been extended and no new contest is scheduled. A realistic shift would require an expedited electoral commission announcement, resolution of the cited logistical obstacles, or unexpected political agreement to advance the timetable, none of which has materialized in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2027年前不舉行選舉 95%
正義與福利（UCID） 2.8%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 1.9%
$94,636 交易量
$94,636 交易量
2026-12-31
2027年前不舉行選舉
95%
正義與福利（UCID）
3%
Waddani
3%
Kulmiye
2%
2027年前不舉行選舉 95%
正義與福利（UCID） 2.8%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 1.9%
$94,636 交易量
$94,636 交易量
2026-12-31
2027年前不舉行選舉
$84,777 交易量
95%
正義與福利（UCID）
$4,279 交易量
3%
Waddani
$2,522 交易量
3%
Kulmiye
$3,058 交易量
2%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were formally postponed by the National Electoral Commission and the House of Elders due to security concerns, technical hurdles, and drought conditions, resulting in a term extension that shifts voting to March 2027. This institutional decision has produced overwhelming trader consensus around no election before 2027, reflecting the established pattern of repeated delays in Somaliland’s electoral calendar and the absence of any subsequent reversal or acceleration. The three recognized parties—UCID, Waddani, and Kulmiye—remain low-probability options because the current House of Representatives term has been extended and no new contest is scheduled. A realistic shift would require an expedited electoral commission announcement, resolution of the cited logistical obstacles, or unexpected political agreement to advance the timetable, none of which has materialized in recent months.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
交易量
$94,636結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were formally postponed by the National Electoral Commission and the House of Elders due to security concerns, technical hurdles, and drought conditions, resulting in a term extension that shifts voting to March 2027. This institutional decision has produced overwhelming trader consensus around no election before 2027, reflecting the established pattern of repeated delays in Somaliland’s electoral calendar and the absence of any subsequent reversal or acceleration. The three recognized parties—UCID, Waddani, and Kulmiye—remain low-probability options because the current House of Representatives term has been extended and no new contest is scheduled. A realistic shift would require an expedited electoral commission announcement, resolution of the cited logistical obstacles, or unexpected political agreement to advance the timetable, none of which has materialized in recent months.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
交易量
$94,636結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were formally postponed by the National Electoral Commission and the House of Elders due to security concerns, technical hurdles, and drought conditions, resulting in a term extension that shifts voting to March 2027. This institutional decision has produced overwhelming trader consensus around no election before 2027, reflecting the established pattern of repeated delays in Somaliland’s electoral calendar and the absence of any subsequent reversal or acceleration. The three recognized parties—UCID, Waddani, and Kulmiye—remain low-probability options because the current House of Representatives term has been extended and no new contest is scheduled. A realistic shift would require an expedited electoral commission announcement, resolution of the cited logistical obstacles, or unexpected political agreement to advance the timetable, none of which has materialized in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions