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World·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
World·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Renan Santos 67%

Ronaldo Caiado 14%

Romeu Zema 9%

Flávio Bolsonaro 8.6%

Polymarket

$406,645 交易量

Renan Santos 67%

Ronaldo Caiado 14%

Romeu Zema 9%

Flávio Bolsonaro 8.6%

Polymarket

$406,645 交易量

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$122,882 交易量

67%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$27,656 交易量

14%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$16,996 交易量

9%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$18,051 交易量

9%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$8,829 交易量

1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$17,497 交易量

1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$9,554 交易量

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$7,845 交易量

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$7,336 交易量

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$6,066 交易量

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$42,485 交易量

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$6,157 交易量

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$5,894 交易量

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$3,292 交易量

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$98,505 交易量

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$4,817 交易量

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$2,782 交易量

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent June 2026 polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions near 40 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro near 30 percent, leaving a fragmented field for third place among lower-polling right-leaning contenders. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has posted the strongest recent gains in national surveys, particularly among younger voters, positioning him ahead of Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado in trader assessments of who will finish third on October 4. Zema and Caiado, both sitting governors, remain competitive alternatives within the opposition but trail Santos in current vote-intention data. Forums among right-wing pre-candidates have highlighted efforts at unity without altering the lower-tier polling hierarchy. Market pricing reflects this distribution of support while leaving room for shifts as official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the first round.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$406,645
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent June 2026 polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions near 40 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro near 30 percent, leaving a fragmented field for third place among lower-polling right-leaning contenders. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has posted the strongest recent gains in national surveys, particularly among younger voters, positioning him ahead of Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado in trader assessments of who will finish third on October 4. Zema and Caiado, both sitting governors, remain competitive alternatives within the opposition but trail Santos in current vote-intention data. Forums among right-wing pre-candidates have highlighted efforts at unity without altering the lower-tier polling hierarchy. Market pricing reflects this distribution of support while leaving room for shifts as official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the first round.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$406,645
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Renan Santos" at 67%, followed by "Ronaldo Caiado" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" has generated $406.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" is "Renan Santos" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ronaldo Caiado" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.