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icon for Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被指控或逮捕?

Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被指控或逮捕?

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被指控或逮捕?

Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被指控或逮捕?

27% 機率
Polymarket
最新

27% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Flávio Bolsonaro, the Brazilian senator and 2026 presidential candidate, faces active federal police investigations ordered by the Supreme Court, including an April 2026 probe into alleged defamation of President Lula and a May 2026 inquiry into leaked messages regarding funding ties to a jailed banker. These remain at the investigative stage, with prosecutors yet to decide on formal charges. No arrests or indictments have materialized since the probes opened, consistent with standard Brazilian judicial timelines for such cases. Traders appear to view the September 30 window as too narrow for escalation to charges or detention, given procedural requirements, ongoing political activity, and the absence of immediate enforcement signals from authorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,251
結束日期
2026-10-01
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Flávio Bolsonaro, the Brazilian senator and 2026 presidential candidate, faces active federal police investigations ordered by the Supreme Court, including an April 2026 probe into alleged defamation of President Lula and a May 2026 inquiry into leaked messages regarding funding ties to a jailed banker. These remain at the investigative stage, with prosecutors yet to decide on formal charges. No arrests or indictments have materialized since the probes opened, consistent with standard Brazilian judicial timelines for such cases. Traders appear to view the September 30 window as too narrow for escalation to charges or detention, given procedural requirements, ongoing political activity, and the absence of immediate enforcement signals from authorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,251
結束日期
2026-10-01
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被指控或逮捕?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Flávio Bolsonaro 在 9 月 30 日前會被起訴或逮捕嗎?" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被指控或逮捕?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被指控或逮捕?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被指控或逮捕?" is "Flávio Bolsonaro 在 9 月 30 日前會被起訴或逮捕嗎?" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被指控或逮捕?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.